@BobLoukas · Unclaimed · All time · Stated horizon How it’s ranked
Position Trader, Entrepreneur, Family Man, Fullfilled. Omnia mea mecum porto.
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
4
4 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
2 correct / 2 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-2.7%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−5.4%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
189d
5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+8.5%“The transition from a bear to bull phase can be tricky to position for, especially when you don't get capitulation deep into a Cycles timing band. This is the case for Bitcoin currently. There are clear signs of a bottom with some confirming elements, but not definitive confirmation of a bottom yet. And even with a price low in place, the likelihood of chop or a retest of the lower regions is real. Investors who rode out the bear can still give a lot back as a market transitions. Based on what I'm seeing here, if I had a gun to head, I would say the price lows are in for Bitcoin. But it probably won't be as easy as that, meaning the market will likely need to shake out some of this early exuberance we're seeing on the feed. I'll record the next 4yr Cycle video later this week to discuss how I'm thinking about deploying the last tranche.”
Worst call
-21.6%“@Sykodelic_ This a bitcoin/crypto bear market by any measure. Especially in relation to all other asset classes. Which also means the next bull move has far more legs than you imply.”
Every token @BobLoukas has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 5 May 2026
5 bullish · 2 bearish
Last called 7 Nov 2026
By month resolved · Stated horizon
36 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jun 2026, 13:18 | “Just like all prior cycles. Current drawdown from 2022-26 crypto Cycle - ETH - 69% XRP - 71% LTC - 72% Link - 77% SOL - 79% SUI - 87% ADA - 88% AVAX - 90% Way oversold, due a bounce, but all potentially have up to 50% declines left in them this year.” |
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All time · stated
| SOL |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 30d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 4 Jun 2026, 18:08 | “@cdnsos It's just sentiment, the big squeeze has happened for bitcoin and it needs to take time to become fashionable again.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Jun 2026, 21:37 | “Despite Bulltards endless narratives, and hate, BTC was always going to retest this area (at min). A Cycle ending decline almost never comes that early & in one swoop. Now bulls at least have something to work with here, structurally. Fairly unlikely they can hold it though. https://t.co/GEetbwOWxg” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $65,673 | 30d | $62,668 | -4.6% | correct |
| 3 Jun 2026, 20:57 | “The Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle Journey ‘Model Portfolio’ has made its first buy in 3.5yrs. Picking up 10BTC at $65,000. Moving up to around a 60% BTC allocation. The model can always be found here >> https://t.co/cYCKmcJ4TZ A new 4 YR Cycle video will be published tomorrow morning. FYI - I very much doubt the 4 Yr Cycle has bottomed, however at this level it makes sense to begin some re accumulation, as the possibility of only a retest of the Feb lows to mark the 4yr cycle low is possible. That would be the best Bull Case. Dry powder remains for a more tradition Cycle Low around the Q3 period. Reminder - The 4 Year Model is not designed to trade often, intends to always have solid allocation to Bitcoin (even when a top is defined), does not try to time tops, but rather waits for trend breakdown on a monthly timeframe, and is ultimately designed as a HODL strategy with strategic (well defined HTF) trades to add Bitcoin over time. As evident by only 8 trades in 8 years. If you're looking for more aggressive Spot positioning over the Weekly and 4 year Cycles that content is published on the Bitcoin Live website.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 5 May 2026, 12:40 | “@Sykodelic_ This a bitcoin/crypto bear market by any measure. Especially in relation to all other asset classes. Which also means the next bull move has far more legs than you imply.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $81,285 | 30d | $63,698 | -21.6% | incorrect |
| 5 May 2026, 11:39 | “Bitcoin - Getting close now to the end of a natural counter trend move in a bear market. $85-$88k area. However, there is a difference to this move. Counter trend moves are typically stronger (impulse) and shorter duration, this move is more consistent with base building over a longer period. For example, it has been 88 days since the low, no counter trend move to a local high took anywhere near this long. It means we could be looking at more of a time based Cycle Low developing over 2026. In that scenario, the next big pullback could be more of a retest of the bear range. We shall have to see.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |