Published 3 Jun 2026, 20:57 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC
Bob Loukas 🗽
@BobLoukas
The Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle Journey ‘Model Portfolio’ has made its first buy in 3.5yrs. Picking up 10BTC at $65,000. Moving up to around a 60% BTC allocation. The model can always be found here >> https://t.co/cYCKmcJ4TZ A new 4 YR Cycle video will be published tomorrow morning. FYI - I very much doubt the 4 Yr Cycle has bottomed, however at this level it makes sense to begin some re accumulation, as the possibility of only a retest of the Feb lows to mark the 4yr cycle low is possible. That would be the best Bull Case. Dry powder remains for a more tradition Cycle Low around the Q3 period. Reminder - The 4 Year Model is not designed to trade often, intends to always have solid allocation to Bitcoin (even when a top is defined), does not try to time tops, but rather waits for trend breakdown on a monthly timeframe, and is ultimately designed as a HODL strategy with strategic (well defined HTF) trades to add Bitcoin over time. As evident by only 8 trades in 8 years. If you're looking for more aggressive Spot positioning over the Weekly and 4 year Cycles that content is published on the Bitcoin Live website.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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