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Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
20
Top 80% · #9 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
33
9 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
45.5%
5 correct / 6 incorrect · 22 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
-0.54%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
-17.7%
Equal stake on all 33 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-1.12%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (38) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 15% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 27.4% | 17 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −38.1% | 72 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.12% | 21 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
9 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“BREAKING: Bitcoin just confirmed its 5th consecutive weekly close above the 50W MA. BTC reclaimed $83,000 while ETH is trading near $2,450 after liquidating $130M in shorts over the last 12 hours. Bears were spreading "Black Monday" crash fears from the last 2 weeks all over X. Send everything higher.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
86 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.18 | 21 | 25% |
30 days · 7d
“BREAKING: Bitcoin just confirmed its 5th consecutive weekly close above the 50W MA. BTC reclaimed $83,000 while ETH is trading near $2,450 after liquidating $130M in shorts over the last 12 hours. Bears were spreading "Black Monday" crash fears from the last 2 weeks all over X. Send everything higher.”
“Market dumps for the most of October. Everyone believes Uptober is cancelled. Multiple FUD hits the market at once. Bears call for new lows. Shorts pile up fast. Then Around the end of October, once weak hands are shaken out, Pumptober finally starts. Bitcoin explodes, triggering a massive short squeeze that sends ETH and alts much higher. Bears will get liquidated and all the panic sellers are buying at higher price.”
“Market dumps for the most of October. Everyone believes Uptober is cancelled. Multiple FUD hits the market at once. Bears call for new lows. Shorts pile up fast. Then Around the end of October, once weak hands are shaken out, Pumptober finally starts. Bitcoin explodes, triggering a massive short squeeze that sends ETH and alts much higher. Bears will get liquidated and all the panic sellers are buying at higher price.”
“Bitcoin’s next upside breakout could be loading.. https://t.co/MlTVefUaVd”
“IT'S OVER FOR BITCOIN AGAIN. https://t.co/MxaWVNR7Er”
“The next few weeks could be massive for the crypto market. - President Trump has announced a $5,000 dividend. - Deal with Russia to bring more oil into the markets - Fed rate hike odds have dropped to 19%. - Treasury has 3x its debt buybacks to $6 billion. - Treasury is considering reducing its long-term bond sales The result of all this would be more liquidity and less uncertainty in the markets, which is bullish for BTC and alts.”
“BREAKING: 🇺🇸 White House Director Patrick Witt says they are exploring ways to buy more Bitcoin for the US Strategic Reserve. You are not bullish enough. https://t.co/Er3hPUGGNE”
“Every time BTC’s monthly RSI hit cycle lows, it marked a major market bottom. Now, BTC’s monthly RSI is starting to bounce from the bottom zone. https://t.co/zdGgehNuPN”