Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,428 at 19 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,388 at 20 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 2387.83 / 2428.01 − 1 = -1.65%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.65% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology