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Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 6 more calls to rank
Scored calls
9
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
0.0%
0 correct / 4 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.42%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-3.8%
Equal stake on all 9 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
-0.29%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (19) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 33% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 0.0% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.8% | 25 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.29% | 19 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 4h
5 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“BREAKING: Bitcoin just confirmed its 5th consecutive weekly close above the 50W MA. BTC reclaimed $83,000 while ETH is trading near $2,450 after liquidating $130M in shorts over the last 12 hours. Bears were spreading "Black Monday" crash fears from the last 2 weeks all over X. Send everything higher.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 71.4% |
72 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.36 | 0 | 25% |
“Market dumps for the most of October. Everyone believes Uptober is cancelled. Multiple FUD hits the market at once. Bears call for new lows. Shorts pile up fast. Then Around the end of October, once weak hands are shaken out, Pumptober finally starts. Bitcoin explodes, triggering a massive short squeeze that sends ETH and alts much higher. Bears will get liquidated and all the panic sellers are buying at higher price.”
“Market dumps for the most of October. Everyone believes Uptober is cancelled. Multiple FUD hits the market at once. Bears call for new lows. Shorts pile up fast. Then Around the end of October, once weak hands are shaken out, Pumptober finally starts. Bitcoin explodes, triggering a massive short squeeze that sends ETH and alts much higher. Bears will get liquidated and all the panic sellers are buying at higher price.”
“Bitcoin’s next upside breakout could be loading.. https://t.co/MlTVefUaVd”
“BREAKING: 🇺🇸 White House Director Patrick Witt says they are exploring ways to buy more Bitcoin for the US Strategic Reserve. You are not bullish enough. https://t.co/Er3hPUGGNE”