Loading…
@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
64
Top 36% · #7 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
217
10 pending · 9 unresolved
Hit rate
47.7%
103 correct / 113 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
+1.85%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
+401.0%
Equal stake on all 217 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.66%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (68) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 12% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 46.4% | 69 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −243.6% | 3 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.66% | 81 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
384 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$PUMP: Still looks good on the lower time frames but I wanted to talk a bit about the higher time frames- on 1 hand, I think pump is still a great business with lots of 'revenue' (probably a lot of it is fake), a big warchest, and great PMF. It's also got a team that is smart and willing to pivot to new ideas (cross chain, streaming, social, etc). On the other hand, there are unlocks, and unlocks are going to probably push down any future pushes. Now, you can argue that the VCs are simply waiting for bullish conditions to unload their bags and that's totally reasonable. But still, the overhang is a reason why you will always be a bit worried imo. I think about some of the older coins that launched in the bear market (thinking 2023) and then started to unlock in 2024. Coins like ARB are a good example- while the ARB token itself is useless, I still think that the perception back then was quite a bit different and arb is still one of the few chains/L2s that has some traction still today. But I just remember ARB pretty much underperforming everything when the bull market really hit in 2024 and I think it's because of VC unlocks (the counter to this is SUI, which had a decent run). So, great fundamentals + revenue + buying tokens vs. token unlocks. Usually the latter ALWAYS wins this and the buybacks can never overcome the selling...but the timing is always the tricky part about any trade. Do I think that pump is going to be higher than todays prices when the bull market hits? Probably Am I scared as hell about these VCs who have their tokens? Definitely”
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @AltcoinSherpa head to head.
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.05 | 78 | 25% |
90 days · 7d
“$LIT currently looking at $1.50-$1.80 or so for Lighter, I still think it's a great coin https://t.co/q5JZ01If9c”
“$BTC 200d EMA always a decent indicator for higher time frame ideas on bitcoin bottoms...I think it's going to look a bit like we did in 2023 near the bottom (or 2019). Expecting a few more months of overall chop though personally https://t.co/XwIbFPMKfj”
“$BTC this wasnt really a bullish monthly close. While I still think the bottom is coming in the next few months, I have no idea in the short term https://t.co/LJooES3iym”
“gonna be funny if FloodCapital was dumping his $SYN on the market this entire time https://t.co/NhMfPJBKA3”
“$PUMP is a great one and 1 of the leaders right now but I think that I'd rather buy it after it breaks 0.022. Interaction here w. 200d EMA for the first time ever pretty much. I still like it but would rather buy it higher (or lower) than this current price https://t.co/cUK1XV2Ca8”
“btc looking like trash as normal....”
“$PENGU is at a really good level imo. Maybe not the fastest trade in the world but I think your R:R is pretty solid down here + invalidation is pretty clear. I have a bag https://t.co/Zj256eqIgX”
“an easier way to play the rotation game (if you dont want to fire onchain) is to simply long the chain where the activity is at. ANSEM moving hard? Just long SOL. CZ pushing Marscoin? Long BNB. Robinhood hot? Long ETH. Obv you wont get the 100x but you can get in/out w. size”
“$LIT still 1 of the better coins you can buy from a fundamental level, I think this current consolidation is good and healthy. Would love to see it spend more time around this $2-$2.20 area and then form a base to move higher. https://t.co/MHeUDnJMZC”
“$CASHCAT move is great but there's a distinct difference between a pure meme (Fartcoin) and a meme that relies on external forces in order for it to go up (ASTEROID , CC). Coins that rely on continued shilling are at the mercy of the shillers and their timeline. It's why coins like ASTER never really picked up and looks like a stablecoin; because it basically relied on CZ to tweet about it (or bnb cabal to move it). I think CC pretty much is in the same bucket; where you need Vlad to keep pinging it. That said, there are still some extra moves to come. Robinhood spot seems inevitable and once that happens, it probably has 1 last big push to 100m and then probably death after. Because at the end of the day, we're trading attention, and there's always something new in crypto”
“I bought some $MU this morning and sold it for a small loss, thank the lord I did...this is looking grim. Reminds me of a shitcoin chart https://t.co/9arNU0THp9 https://t.co/IoshEq2pkE”
“BTC: The Bottom is almost here... https://t.co/qlTzN35lt1”
“yeah this is real scary honestly, there's no defense on some of these levels for the recent runners $MU $SNDK $INTC https://t.co/2g5pbcD3e9 https://t.co/Y13CfDbs6F”
“yeah this is real scary honestly, there's no defense on some of these levels for the recent runners $MU $SNDK $INTC https://t.co/2g5pbcD3e9 https://t.co/Y13CfDbs6F”