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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
11
Top 89% · #20 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
365
0 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
44.8%
87 correct / 107 incorrect · 171 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.04%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-15.2%
Equal stake on all 365 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.04%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (25) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 44.4% | 12 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −30.0% | 15 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.04% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
107 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC 200 ema on the 4h a great local bottom...let's hope this continues https://t.co/dadR0qsGs7”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.04 | 15 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“things are going to get extremely nasty if we lose these recent lows here...(sadly kind of looks like it is going to happen eventually) $ENA $WLD $PUMP https://t.co/sQZl6LrDfW”
“we're hurting now but think of how rekt we're going to be if bitcoin legs down to 75k in 1 go...”
“$SOL and $ETH have relatively similar charts honestly, both extremely low volatility and just slowly grinding around near this resistance region. I don't think that either are great for active trades but will put in the +20% candles when btc breaks out imo https://t.co/m7WBvh587J”
“$ETH: If you're long here you're just waiting for it to put in the +20% candle that we're all waiting for. I think ETH still looks pretty damn strong but it's been in this tight 5% range for weeks now; don't see that changing until btc legs up significantly. I have some calls on ETHA”
“I put all majors in S or A, mostly because I think that they're all going to mostly go up. I dont think I'd ever buy LTC or TRX often but they're probably going to do fine later on + you can size into them. USELESS outperformed nearly every single coin this recent run. its been the best SOL beta for a few reasons ADA was 1 of the only altcoins to get close to its altbtc pair last cycle in 2021. I think it's fucking dogshit but I do think it's going to do well when retail comes. probably should have gone C tier though. What's wrong with the other A tier? NEAR/ENA are very strong coins. VVV the best AI coin so far this year.”
“Coins I would consider top blasting at current levels or a shallow dip, expecting higher in the short term: $PUMP $MON $GRASS $WLD $ZRO $STRK (gulp) $STX”
“$PUMP looks pretty good imo, next leg incoming? Consolidated well above the previous August highs https://t.co/4k63i4CKWi”
“chop on the lower time frames but I still think that it looks pretty decent overall for btc and some select altcoins. dont think we're in a panic spot at all”
“$ETH chopped for 1 month, had a small move, and has now continued chopping for 10 days. I think it's only a matter of time before this one explodes. I'm long calls https://t.co/2SRXcWXtIC”
“solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv small bag right now but I need more time to reload, this still looks pretty solid to me. Want to DCA more in this region personally https://t.co/3BnGGAl2gg”
“$USELESS I think that the 0.20 area is going to ultimately be the low for it but this will go back to ATH eventually IMO. Still seems to be the leader for sol memes the last few weeks. nice bounce today and I still have a small bag of it https://t.co/GdzkpNgDhz”
“$USELESS I'm still in an underwater position on this but will keep watching; might trim some on the next bounce. If bitcoin continues to grind down or loses this level, I think the 0.195 and 0.16 areas are interesting to me. https://t.co/VPpYVq8QXb”
“solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv: Opened a starter position on this one, I'm buying the breakout. It's chopped at this current area for days now + has all the 1d EMAs flipped. I think this is a bit of a slower trade but one that's interesting to me. Already had a small bag I'm holding from before but bought more here”
“solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv: Opened a starter position on this one, I'm buying the breakout. It's chopped at this current area for days now + has all the 1d EMAs flipped. I think this is a bit of a slower trade but one that's interesting to me. Already had a small bag I'm holding from before but bought more here”