Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 Jun 2026, 21:06 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:54 UTC

Peter Schiff

@PeterSchiff

In reply to · 25 Jun 2026, 21:02 UTC · context given to the AI

@PeterSchiff With Bitcoin, everything gets cheaper over time

@CoinImpulse Maybe you haven't been paying attention, but everything is getting much more expensive priced in Bitcoin, which is now down more than 50% from its high and headed much lower.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“As I warned, $MSTR’s death spiral has pricked the Bitcoin bubble. MSTR fell another 8% this morning, down 84% from its high. $STRC fell another 7%, bringing the total decline to 25% and raising the current yield to 15.3%, sending Bitcoin tumbling to $58K, down 54% from its high.”Anchor (scored)25 Jun 2026, 14:06 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@CoinImpulse Maybe you haven't been paying attention, but everything is getting much more expensive priced in Bitcoin, which is now down more than 50% from its high and headed much lower.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Prediction evidence

Source post

How this was scored

Same 24h episode

AI interpretation

Outcome record

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