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@travladd · Futures trader. Partner of @okx | Business: https://t.co/5Tj83UaVch | Not financial advice.
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
69
Top 31% · #6 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
64
5 pending · 7 unresolved
Hit rate
43.8%
28 correct / 36 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg return / call
+33.55%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+2147.5%
Equal stake on all 64 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+52.73%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (73) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 43.9% | 53 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −224.2% | 13 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +52.73% | 100 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
133 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“This was once a 300 BILLION FDV token and a MAJOR lesson to thousands of investors about tokenomics. I truly feel sorry for anyone who bought $PI on the open market. Total ( circulating ) market cap: 900M Total FDV Unlocks: $507M The unlocks are people who have been stuck holding too and got their tokens basically for free besides minor phone charging costs ( extremely cheap, not like $BTC ASIC). If the token gets a pump, the unlock value increases with it. Relief rally to 1.8B ( huge capital to do this ), 1.14B in unlocks. No fee sharing model to support price whatsoever. Sinking ship unless a major revenue builder comes out that actually BENEFITS token holders. It’s cooked for a long time.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 92.3% |
69 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 1.02 | 100 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“If you shorted $PI when I mentioned it, massive profits. If you shorted $SPCX when I did, massive profits. Massive overhangs are horrible for sustainability UNLESS you have the revenue to back it. Period. https://t.co/VfLNZjHfz2”
“$PI is possibly one of the easiest shorts on the market right now ( if they stick to their word and give people their earned tokens ). Between now and June 2029, $505 million dollars unlocks ( current market cap is only 900M ) Price goes up? So does that unlock value. $141 million to be unlocked over the next 12 months.”
“@ArdiNSC 64.3 needs to hold. I think 60.5 is the next significant order block. Lose that, back in the 50’s.”
“@Eljaboom Needs to reclaim 64.2k ish on the weekly or 62k is next”
“$PI will go below $500M market cap. IF they stick to their unlocks. I am seeing many pioneers saying they are still overdue their tokens. https://t.co/WAdb1lvcIH”
“$BTC Lose 62.5k and the 58k range is going to be retested. Stop listening to dumb asses telling you it is altseason, if bitcoin can't breathe, alteason is not nearby. $ETH also getting fried. These ranges need to hold. https://t.co/TWdwO7l9yL”
“$BTC Lose 62.5k and the 58k range is going to be retested. Stop listening to dumb asses telling you it is altseason, if bitcoin can't breathe, alteason is not nearby. $ETH also getting fried. These ranges need to hold. https://t.co/TWdwO7l9yL”
“$RE retracement coming soon once it takes liquidity from the strong order block. MACD and RSI already bearish, price likely wants the liquidity though. Keeping an eye on it, if it goes for that liquidity and shows clear sweep, I will short. If it is already retracing now, I want to see a HTF CHoCH before entering.”
“$PI has $147,000,000 in unlocks over the next 12 months based on current price TO PEOPLE WHO LITERALLY MINED OR REFERED OTHERS, THIS MEANS NO MONETARY COST. Around 80% of the circulating supply going to users who PAID NOTHING. Long way down to go.”
“@Herbnhaler I’m eying up a $PI short soon. Need confirmation though, not trying to get ripped into as it has momentum still. Coming up to major levels.”
“Bears can’t stop $ANSEM @blknoiz06 https://t.co/eNR97ok4K6”
“@crypto_birb Likely goes to 66, maybe an overextended daily on that wick and then to new lows. Probably takes 2 weeks or so of chop to hit the high and then 3 weeks to the capitulation, what do you think?”