Sminston With 👁

Low sample

@sminston_with · Unclaimed · 7 days · Stated horizon How it’s ranked

Bitcoin ⚡ Engineering PhD ⚡ Data & tools https://t.co/TaPKiZgBNX

Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026

Claim profile Challenge Propose a round on @sminston_with Share record

Window

24H 7D 30D 90D ALL

Horizon

Stated Current 1H 4H 24H 7D 30D

All assets BTC ETH SOL

Calls

2 pending · 0 unresolved

Hit rate

0.0%

0 correct / 2 incorrect · 0 neutral

ROI

-7.5%

Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned

Max drawdown

−7.5%

Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake

Streak

Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped

Coverage

186d

8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026

Worst call

-8.2%

BTC▲ Bullish8 Oct 2026 · checked after 30d

“Did you know you can measure Bitcoin the way you'd measure a factory? 🏭 It costs $50.4K in machines and electricity to produce one coin. It sells for $83.3K. So you're paying a 39% markup over production cost. Here's what matters. Across sixteen years, every time that markup was under 35%, Bitcoin was higher twelve months later. Every single time, no exceptions. Above 65% markup? Higher only 37% of the time. Today's 39% is at the cheap end of that range, and 70% of the last five years were pricier than right now. Might make sense to pick some up. NFA”

Evidence ↗Post on X ↗

Portfolio

Every token @sminston_with has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 1 token, all time.

BTC▲ Bullish
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 49 calls since 11 May 2026
49 bullish · 0 bearish

Hit rate trend

By month resolved · Stated horizon

Not enough history in this window for a trend.

Bullish / bearish split

▲ Bullish0 calls · 2 directional0.0%

▼ Bearish0 calls · 0 directional—

By asset

7 days · stated

BTC 2 directional0.0%
ETH 0 directional—
SOL 0 directional—

Prediction history

2 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence

All Correct Incorrect Neutral Pending Unresolved Unscored

Posted (UTC)	Call	Asset	Direction	Price at post	Horizon	Price at horizon	Return	Status
9 Nov 2026, 20:46	“I agree with @saifedean. NGU or NGD. Only one can get this thing adopted at scale. Both its hard-to-control properties AND its tendency to vastly outrun inflation are necessary for more people to hold it, sustainably so. Neither is sufficient on its own. And you're still pretty early.”

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