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@scottmelker · The Wolf Of All Streets | The Daily Wolf On @YahooFinance | Media Host | Author | Markets | Hot Takes | Bitcoin | Married up to @emimelker ALL CAPS = news team
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
48
Top 52% · #12 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
38
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
42.1%
16 correct / 22 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.06%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-2.3%
Equal stake on all 38 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.02%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (46) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 5% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 43.4% | 18 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.5% | 97 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.02% | 36 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
94 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I have bull posted every bitcoin bottom since 2016. The problem is I have also bull posted the wrong bottoms before new bottoms were made every single time since 2016.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 66.7% |
58 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.02 | 39 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“I will remain unapologetically optimistic about the prospects of a Bitcoin bottom. I am assuming that @Matt_Hougan is the perfect guest to compliment my sentiment. https://t.co/kpKhaQml51”
“Putting all narrative and emotion aside... Buying the weekly 200 MA on Bitcoin has never been a bad idea. This is about as strong of a technical level as you can buy, even if you are "wrong" for a short stretch. https://t.co/cQzsMFXTwL”
“$BTC WEEKLY Bitcoin has officially revisited the 200 MA after breaking down from the 50 MA. It has risen from $55K when I first posted this to $62K. It has only traded below it for one stretch in history - June 2022 to March 2023. Every other cycle, this was the bottom. https://t.co/InAIx3UURk https://t.co/CvG8NUXsy7”
“$BTC, $HYPE, $ZEC - they all shared the exact same signal at the top. Bearish divergence with RSI on the daily chart. I’ve said for years - nothing is perfect, but this is the most reliable top and bottom signal I’ve ever found. https://t.co/08khOjBZw1”
“"The most bullish scenario is that we get a price flush down to $55K, $56K, and then we skyrocket" "I'm not calling for the bottom, but I do think that we are bottoming" https://t.co/tHxKk7WTJC https://t.co/gviz9eUWGd”
“This was a solid signal in November. https://t.co/CvG8NUXsy7”
“Remove your emotions and answer this question. Do you think that the bitcoin high is in forever? If you believe that bitcoin will eventually make new highs, then you currently have the opportunity to buy at a 50% discount to the recent price.”
“$HYPE I have been hesitant to share charts of late, because what's the point? Well... $HYPE printed the same bearish divergence as $ZEC, massively overbought at peak FOMO. $BTC did the same at the dead top of this move as well, by the way. https://t.co/e6RDjRiK2h https://t.co/08khOjBZw1”
“Bitcoin keeps getting stronger. Ethereum keeps falling behind. https://t.co/dBBgCUO5cU https://t.co/TLOfOX0Tfm”
“Crypto companies are getting crushed in the bear market, but if $BTC surges (to $126,000 👀), those same companies could be posting record earnings within months. Discussed this in depth yesterday on The Daily Wolf on @YahooFinance. https://t.co/cTp4PqkGiM”
“The $STRC money printer is firing back up today. Trading over $100 = Saylor buying party. https://t.co/tn07ZWSokv”
“Strategy’s model works as long as $BTC keeps outperforming its cost of capital, but a major $BTC drawdown could eventually force selling pressure to protect its retail-backed cushion. @billbar https://t.co/WQXxcRq1rg”
“$BTC trying to confirm a hidden bullish divergence to cancel that bearish divergence. https://t.co/DWF379XeCc https://t.co/2Obos7Ftmo”
“Even a quantum-driven $BTC sell-off may be less severe than previous cycles. @en_tropyc https://t.co/UVyeIHCJTP”