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@scottmelker · The Wolf Of All Streets | The Daily Wolf On @YahooFinance | Media Host | Author | Markets | Hot Takes | Bitcoin | Married up to @emimelker ALL CAPS = news team
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
92
Top 8% · #2 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
15
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
71.4%
5 correct / 2 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.53%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+7.9%
Equal stake on all 15 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.37%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (70) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 67.8% | 91 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −6.2% | 91 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.37% | 59 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
5 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The S&P 500 is sitting near record highs. But the internals are weak. As of Wednesday, 257 of the 500 stocks in the index were trading below their 200-day moving averages. That’s more than half the index underwater on a widely watched long-term momentum measure. Breadth is bearish. Now look at crypto. Of the top 100 tokens by market cap, 88, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, are trading above their 200-day SMAs. Most of those same coins are also holding above their 50-day and 100-day averages. That’s a clean, bullish configuration across the board. And here’s the part that stands out: $BTC, $ETH, $XRP, $SOL and the majority of the rest are still well below their all-time highs. They look relatively inexpensive compared with equities that are already pricing in a lot of good news. Weak breadth in stocks near highs has historically been a yellow flag. Strong breadth in crypto while prices remain far from peaks is the opposite setup. The data doesn’t lie.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 61.5% |
47 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.16 | 66 | 25% |
90 days · 24h
“$BTC closed the week above the weekly 50 MA for the first time since the bear market began. And now it’s working on a higher high. A close at these levels and bear market argument is dead. Some would say this move has already killed it. $82,814 is broken. https://t.co/f4XiymJZNZ”
“Bitcoin spent a historically long stretch in fear, and one week of greed is not the top "Crypto greed gauge hits highest since just before October's nineteen billion wipeout. I am seeing this narrative everywhere and it drives me absolutely nuts." "Bitcoin spent a historically long period in fear. If you were looking at the sentiment index it was fear, slight spikes out, extreme fear, for months at a time, something that had never happened before. We finally exit fear and get into greed for the first time, and you already have the crypto media talking about the October nineteen billion dollar wipeout and how this is exactly the same." "Take a look back at the crypto fear and greed index then, and you will notice we were in a raging bull market with Bitcoin going all the way up to one hundred twenty six thousand. Much like how we have been in fear here, we had a long sustained period of greed and extreme greed." "We just got there. This is just the beginning of a sentiment shift, and it is disingenuous to compare it to the top of the entire bull market. Much like RSI can stay overbought for a very long time when things get going, so can greed sentiment remain elevated. I think this is a bullish narrative and not a bearish narrative."”
“The same signals that marked the bottom are now showing up as signs of a local top "A lot of the signals we saw that were very key signs of a bottom are now showing up as key signs of a local top. I do not think this move is over, I'm just getting excited to hopefully buy some dips as price drops here. Bitcoin has a tendency not to give you the dips you want, but that's what I'm looking for" "Those signals are overbought RSI now. We had almost historically high RSI on the daily chart. We're seeing bearish divergence with overbought RSI on lower timeframes, meaning strength abating even as price continued up" "And we're at key levels of resistance. The 50 moving average on the weekly chart, we basically went right up to it and got rejected. That's the kind of area you'd be looking for price to retrace below, to gather up strength to go back above"”
“I am not saying that Bitcoin is starting it's next move, although it very well could be. I am saying that I've been very publicly making the case for a potential bottom since February and I still think odds are in favor of that arugment.”