@scottmelker · The Wolf Of All Streets | The Daily Wolf On @YahooFinance | Media Host | Author | Markets | Hot Takes | Bitcoin | Married up to @emimelker ALL CAPS = news team
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
48
Top 52% · #12 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
38
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
51.6%
16 correct / 15 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.01%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.2%
Equal stake on all 38 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.02%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (54) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 5% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.2% | 61 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.5% | 88 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.02% | 39 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
15 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Banks in North Dakota are launching their own stablecoin, and they chose Solana to settle on "Even the banks in North Dakota are realizing this now. I had also told you that there is a national network of regional and community banks that's launching their own bank stablecoin network. This is not even a part of it. This is just North Dakota preempting them and creating their own system." "This is coming to all banks near you. This is how they will settle." "Now, is that investable for me in some way, shape or form? Not really, but maybe because it's on Solana. So if this becomes a massive network that's using the network and burning Solana as gas fees, then yes, the price of Solana should rise." "It's very encouraging to see that they are doing this on a decentralized network that you can own the token of."”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 66.7% |
58 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.04 | 42 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“The S&P 500 is sitting near record highs. But the internals are weak. As of Wednesday, 257 of the 500 stocks in the index were trading below their 200-day moving averages. That’s more than half the index underwater on a widely watched long-term momentum measure. Breadth is bearish. Now look at crypto. Of the top 100 tokens by market cap, 88, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, are trading above their 200-day SMAs. Most of those same coins are also holding above their 50-day and 100-day averages. That’s a clean, bullish configuration across the board. And here’s the part that stands out: $BTC, $ETH, $XRP, $SOL and the majority of the rest are still well below their all-time highs. They look relatively inexpensive compared with equities that are already pricing in a lot of good news. Weak breadth in stocks near highs has historically been a yellow flag. Strong breadth in crypto while prices remain far from peaks is the opposite setup. The data doesn’t lie.”
“The S&P 500 is sitting near record highs. But the internals are weak. As of Wednesday, 257 of the 500 stocks in the index were trading below their 200-day moving averages. That’s more than half the index underwater on a widely watched long-term momentum measure. Breadth is bearish. Now look at crypto. Of the top 100 tokens by market cap, 88, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, are trading above their 200-day SMAs. Most of those same coins are also holding above their 50-day and 100-day averages. That’s a clean, bullish configuration across the board. And here’s the part that stands out: $BTC, $ETH, $XRP, $SOL and the majority of the rest are still well below their all-time highs. They look relatively inexpensive compared with equities that are already pricing in a lot of good news. Weak breadth in stocks near highs has historically been a yellow flag. Strong breadth in crypto while prices remain far from peaks is the opposite setup. The data doesn’t lie.”
“The S&P 500 is sitting near record highs. But the internals are weak. As of Wednesday, 257 of the 500 stocks in the index were trading below their 200-day moving averages. That’s more than half the index underwater on a widely watched long-term momentum measure. Breadth is bearish. Now look at crypto. Of the top 100 tokens by market cap, 88, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, are trading above their 200-day SMAs. Most of those same coins are also holding above their 50-day and 100-day averages. That’s a clean, bullish configuration across the board. And here’s the part that stands out: $BTC, $ETH, $XRP, $SOL and the majority of the rest are still well below their all-time highs. They look relatively inexpensive compared with equities that are already pricing in a lot of good news. Weak breadth in stocks near highs has historically been a yellow flag. Strong breadth in crypto while prices remain far from peaks is the opposite setup. The data doesn’t lie.”
“Bitcoin spot ETF inflows hit $731M, the largest single inflow day since January "Usually when we're talking about what's signal and what's noise we don't talk too deeply about the daily ETF inflows and outflows because it generally gets washed away in the news cycle, but when you have the largest day here in September, basically of the entire year since January, it's worth noting almost a billion dollars in inflows into the Bitcoin spot ETFs." "IBIT, of course, from BlackRock had 454 million of those, but six other funds also had inflows." "August had approximately $3.5 billion in inflows, strongest month since September 2025, and that was right before the October peak of the entire market. So this is a real trend that started in August when Bitcoin started to move up towards the end of the month." "It was the bond market that sparked this, the fact that Treasury announced that they were going to double their buybacks, that was the catalyst. But now we're weeks removed from that happening and prices are still high and inflows are still increasing, which means that there's actually an institutional, and retail bid underlying this price move, giving a lot more confidence that this is strong and that it could potentially be a lasting move."”
“For the record, today’s move on Bitcoin was awesome, but for now it’s a short squeeze into resistance. To celebrate, we need follow through.”
“Everyone feared Saylor becoming a forced seller but when he actually sold, Bitcoin went up “This was arguably the biggest FUD in the market, Saylor becoming a forced seller. The narrative was he’s the only buyer, the buyer of last resort, then Bitcoin went up after he sold” “He’s shown that’s just not going to happen, and more importantly he’s shown he can’t really even buy right now, which is also not affecting the price” “To me, that’s more of a bottom signal””
“Bitcoin to $70K THIS MONTH? History Says Yes https://t.co/ZBczGbQ42o”
“"Imagine walking into your local branch of World Liberty Financial. They'd be like, thank you for your $1000 deposit, we put it into solana:6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN token at the top of the market, and it's gone" "You ever seen that South Park where you walk in and it's like, oh, we've deposited your $1000 into a bank account, and it's gone?"”
“What if the bitcoin bottom is already in? https://t.co/hDirW792cr”
“"You know what the easy way out is that nobody is considering?" "Bitcoin goes up" "If Bitcoin's at 80k, we're not even having these conversations" "You know how you get on social media and feel like you're right about something and you keep pounding it. I get the emotional attachment to being right. But that is also an emotional attachment to there being no chance that Bitcoin goes up"”
“$BTC now has potential bullish divergence coming out oversold RSI on every high time frame. Potential.”
“"We have a pump and dump contagion that I fully expect is going to continue. A month ago it was just Bitcoin and natural gas. Now it's gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and corn" Mike on why there's no hope for crypto until the stock market breaks "The list is getting longer every day. The bottom line for most of those markets to stay up, most notably Bitcoin, is the stock market has to stay up" "We are talking about the spaces with excess supply. There's a bit of a blip with crude oil in the Middle East that's going to be fixed. Natural gas, cryptos, major oversupply, and they don't have income" "The biggest game in town now is this massive pump in earnings and in the stock market. There is no hope for cryptos in this environment. At some point, they need to find their low price cure"”
“@ZeroHedge_ Of course there are ways. One is for Bitcoin to simply… go up.”
“"Peter Schiff told me this weekend will be the bloodiest weekend in Bitcoin history" "People declare there will be a Black Monday all the time. Their success rate is as good as Elizabeth Warren's success rate of passing bills. Zero" "Peak fear and insanity in the market is probably the best buy signal, at least temporarily, that you have"”