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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
7
Top 93% · #21 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
135
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
41.5%
56 correct / 79 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg return / call
-2.26%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-305.0%
Equal stake on all 135 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-2.68%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (19) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.1% | 12 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −345.9% | 12 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -2.68% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
326 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC At this very moment, Bitcoin is positioned for a repeat of bearish price history However, Bitcoin has a few more days to turn things around before the new Weekly Close, if it can A Weekly Close below ~$78300 could set price up for a breakdown like in May $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/p2byeo3R1n https://t.co/upWuzpGObA”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.3% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.46 | 0 | 25% |
All time · stated
“#BTC Bitcoin has dropped into ~$78300 (blue) for a retest attempt The retest is now in progress Earlier this year (red circle), Bitcoin initially enjoyed a successful retest here but ultimately rejected from $82.5k to enter a retrace Ultimately, a Weekly Close below $78300 followed by a bearish retest just like in early May would likely confirm a breakdown $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The retest of ~$78300 is now in progress $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/qvqvadVvr4 https://t.co/upWuzpGObA”
“#BTC If you want to be a Bull then you'd like Bitcoin to avoid repeating May price tendencies at these highs (red circle) That's all $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/2GBJfWqTLt”
“#BTC There's the post-breakout retest Bitcoin has successfully retested the Macro Downtrend and these April/May Monthly highs as support $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/XoUltKRPcL https://t.co/r4m81nsg68”
“#BTC The Daily Bitcoin Bearish Divergences continue and that weakness is slowly translating into price But Bitcoin would still need to confirm a breakdown from $77k (orange) to have this mounting weakness fully translate into price bitcoin:native #Bitcoin https://t.co/ckhQ4WfxWC https://t.co/tx0AexNf7F”
“#BTC Bitcoin has officially Monthly Closed beneath the Macro Downtrend for August However, given that this Macro Trendline is a dynamic resistance, by virtue of the passing of time price has moved beyond the Downtrend More, price has Monthly Closed above the April/May 2026 candle-bodied highs, which are now perfectly confluent with the Macro Downtrend Bitcoin now has a chance to post-breakout retest both the Macro Downtrend and these April/May Monthly highs in an effort to turn them into new support bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Incredible to see a trend-line drawn based on limited price data in late November 2025 still act as a crucial trend-defining resistance 10 months later bitcoin:native #Bitcoin https://t.co/QBmAx7kfVm https://t.co/deXaGEG7KL”
“#BTC Aside from the Hidden Bearish Divergence on the Daily timeframe... Bitcoin is also having a Daily Bear Div play out on its current Local Higher High (blue) if the Daily RSI continues to make Lower Highs (blue), that'll contribute to mounting weakness here bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The Daily Hidden Bearish Divergence is still there bitcoin:native #Bitcoin https://t.co/nJx7du1pZA https://t.co/9QWmG25EIf”
“#BTC Can Bitcoin prove sustained strength at these highs? Previous overextensions lasted anything from 1 week to 4 weeks before a major pullback Bitcoin has successfully managed to perform a Weekly Close at these highs But Bitcoin will need to perform such a Weekly Closes a few more times to stave off downside and ideally rally to Higher Highs Because if this is a Bear Market Relief Rally, in the absence of stability here and/or a new Higher High, price could pullback strongly within a handful of weeks bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin is still hovering beneath the Macro Downtrending resistance, having upside wicked briefly beyond it Still the pivotal resistance and by staying below it, Bitcoin continues its series of Macro Lower Highs bitcoin:native #Bitcoin https://t.co/anBReUrDhp https://t.co/UZsfPfzT8W”
“#BTC The reality is that even if the Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom was in already... Then any deeper pullback into a new Macro Higher Low would confirm that Which would allow to build entries at prices not much higher than the absolute bottom And if you build entries there, those entries will outperform 95-99% of investors over the course of the entire Bitcoin cycle More, the Macro Higher Low would offer slight premium prices compared to the absolute bottom but at least that premium is the cost of buying on confirmation You don't need to buy the absolute Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom to do well in a Bull Cycle bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Here's something noteworthy about the Bitcoin February 2026 and June 2026 lows: Both bottomed at roughly the same price point (price green box) and at near identical levels of being Oversold on the RSI (RSI green box) Both times Bitcoin reversed to the upside towards ~$80,000 But when price rallied to the May 2026 highs... Bitcoin was drastically less Overbought on the RSI than it is on this current advance into ~$80,000 More, Bitcoin is forming a Price Lower High, which is important in the context of these major RSI Overbought differences The RSI Higher Highs together with the Price Lower Highs bring about a Hidden Bearish Divergence on the Daily timeframe at this major psychological resistance of ~$80,000 This Hidden Bear Div will persist, unless Bitcoin is able to break into a new Higher High on price bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
“#BTC With only a couple of days to go until the new Monthly Close... Bitcoin is still finding resistance at the confluent historical point of rejection that are the April/May 2026 candle-bodied highs and the Macro Downtrend Monthly Close below the blue horizontal would both solidify this resistance and confirm yet another Macro Lower High bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”