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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
3
Top 97% · #18 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
66
4 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
39.4%
26 correct / 40 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
-2.95%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
-194.4%
Equal stake on all 66 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-3.09%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (17) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 42% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 34.7% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −213.8% | 16 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -3.09% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
142 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC The upcoming Monthly Candle Close is slowly approaching And as things stand Bitcoin has only rallied +14.5% from the ~$60k historical demand area That's a far cry from previous rebounds which is a sign of progressively weakening support over time $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/9K4cgPJQNl https://t.co/Hu8UEadXjI”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
81 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.55 | 0 | 25% |
90 days · 7d
“Looks like #BTC is rejecting from the 50-Month EMA $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/lzyma7Z5cQ”
“#BTC Bitcoin will likely go up for as long as needed to convince as many people as possible of a new Bull Run beginning And then it will pullback to continue its Bear Market $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has indeed picked up in its price action in the second half of July History tends to repeat itself $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/3Q7qTjnJTO https://t.co/n72n10p74a”
“It makes sense that $USDC Dominance is now in the process of retesting the early 2026 highs into new support (blue) While Bitcoin is treating the general area of February 2026 lows as resistance The inverse correlation is clear More, the blue level for #USDC Dominance is confluent with its Macro Downtrend (red) Successful retest here would enable further upside for USDC Dominance (Macro Risk-Off) #BTC $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin springs from the June lows into Green July in an effort to confirm the 50-Month EMA (purple) into new resistance A Monthly Close below the 50 EMA would likely set up a Red August to fully complete the 2022 Summer Fractal $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/82UFm3JagR https://t.co/5JhfpTAvtn”
“#BTC Bitcoin is showing initial signs of rejection from the 50-Month EMA (purple), closely mimicking 2022 historical price tendencies at this very moment in the cycle $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/gR5K0hIQBk https://t.co/tMHSdojFiJ”