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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
3
Top 97% · #18 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
65
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
18.8%
6 correct / 26 incorrect · 33 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.34%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-21.9%
Equal stake on all 65 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.37%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (18) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 42% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 13.6% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −23.9% | 25 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.37% | 6 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
6 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin is still hovering beneath the Macro Downtrending resistance, having upside wicked briefly beyond it Still the pivotal resistance and by staying below it, Bitcoin continues its series of Macro Lower Highs bitcoin:native #Bitcoin https://t.co/anBReUrDhp https://t.co/UZsfPfzT8W”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
81 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.43 | 3 | 25% |
90 days · 4h
“#BTC Every time Bitcoin produced a fake-breakout (red circle) from a price cluster (orange), price would revert back to the cluster And whenever that would happen, Bitcoin would Weekly Close beneath the Cluster Low and bearish retest it into new resistance to confirm additional downside (blue circles) Should Bitcoin reject at its Macro Downtrend and local top here at ~current prices... Then bearish retesting either of the levels located in the future blue circles ($72400 & $66200) would confirm additional downside lower Bearish retest of $72400 could send price into the high mid-$60,000s And bearish retest of $66200 could send price into the low $60,000s $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Very initial signs of rejection taking place at the Lower High for Bitcoin $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/n0uNXyjp1k https://t.co/WbnRfRENGL”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to try to press into the July highs and the 50-Month EMA This is exactly what Bitcoin did in August 2022 Until Bitcoin clearly reclaims the 50 EMA as support, BTC is technically positioned to repeat 2022 history $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/yTVme90EMm”
“#BTC The 50-Month EMA (purple) continues to reject Bitcoin as we approach the new month of August It's likely price will try to maintain these highs in the early stages of August but history suggests price could rollover just like it did in 2022 $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/vhqur4GL4j https://t.co/TaXqMNX4xo”
“#BTC That multi-week Lower High (black) is starting to convincingly resist price More, a Lower High in the upside wicks has developed as well The Monthly Close is just days away And if that Monthly Close occurs below $66000 then that would confirm this general region as a major higher timeframe resistance to likely reject price into Red August $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”