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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
7
Top 93% · #21 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
142
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
40.1%
57 correct / 85 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.12%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-16.9%
Equal stake on all 142 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.17%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (21) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 38.1% | 3 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −24.9% | 30 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.17% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
326 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I send Bitcoin analysis like this every week if you’re interested: https://t.co/CWLXYsY4t2 $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.4% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.20 | 3 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“#BTC Bitcoin dropped to $60,000 since the Bull Market EMA crossover Orange boxes show that Bitcoin's price tends to drop even further over time (of course, not without periods of limited upside relief in between) $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/cNQZeo5WDn https://t.co/NZvrheCeid”
“#BTC Bitcoin's price action is going to continue going up for as long as $USDC Dominance keeps going down In the short-term, there is scope for USDC Dominance to drop but once the retest is over, the reversal to the upside would occur And this would likely see Bitcoin's price drop over time $BTC #USDC #Bitcoin”
“$USDC Dominance continues to decline, repeating 2022 history If history continues repeat as it has done so far, USDC Dominance will keep dropping in the short-term towards 2.9% before confirming trend continuation to rally higher in the later phase of Q2 #BTC #USDC #Bitcoin https://t.co/Aeuf0xmurd https://t.co/0H5Cu9ifDq”
“#BTC A Weekly Close just like this could confirm the 21-week EMA (green) as resistance to set up for a post-breakout retest of the Double Bottom formation top (blue ~$73k) A successful retest of the Double Bottom formation would confirm the breakout $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/cWxH3lMNpb https://t.co/7eZiVYZFeQ”
“#BTC Bitcoin is rejecting from the 21-week EMA (green) It is this rejection that could force a post-breakout retest of the top of the Double Bottom (~$73k) next week, provided Bitcoin Weekly Closes just like this $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/OAp06uXBYh https://t.co/xP6pJ4CnFX”
“#BTC For Bitcoin to build renewed and sustained macro bullish momentum it would need to reclaim not just $82500 but also break its multi-month series of Lower Highs (Macro Downtrend) History suggests neither of these technical milestones will happen and that the Bear Market still has ~6 months to go $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The immediate resistance on this current move could prove to be the 21-week EMA (green) After all, this EMA tends to act as resistance throughout Bear Markets Of course, Bitcoin has a history of overextending beyond this EMA in Bear Markets and then failing to retest it as support on the retest However this price behaviour has typically occurred prior to a crossover of the 21-week and 50-week EMAs, whereas these EMAs have already crossed over in mid-January 2026 $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to cluster underneath the base of the Macro Triangle price broke down from months ago More, Bitcoin is building a multi-month cluster of price action beneath the Triangle, very similar to the 2014 cluster However history suggests price won't be able to reclaim the Macro Triangle (black) and this current cluster will resolve itself via distribution to the downside over time $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin's progression on the Daily timeframe has been promising, enabling price to maintain itself above the Double Bottom formation top of ~$73000 (blue) Bitcoin is as a result positioned for a positive Weekly Close Still, a Weekly Close just like this could precede a post-breakout retest into ~$73000 to attempt a full confirmation of the breakout However at the moment, it is the upcoming Weekly Close that will be most important to watch for After all, the last time price was at these prices in March, Bitcoin ended up producing an upside wick, which is why the Weekly Close is worth monitoring $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Looking at this on the Daily timeframe, Bitcoin is struggling to breach the ~$74800 Daily resistance (black) If Bitcoin wants to Weekly Close above the Weekly resistance ($72810, blue), then price would need to hold the blue level as support on any upcoming dip The last time Bitcoin rejected from the black resistance in mid-March, price also lost the blue level as support Which is why a Daily Close below the blue level after any upcoming dip could see price drop back into the blue-blue Weekly Range The retest of the blue level on the Daily timeframe will literally be pivotal $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”