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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
7
Top 93% · #21 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
140
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
40.0%
56 correct / 84 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.13%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-17.8%
Equal stake on all 140 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.17%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (21) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 37.9% | 3 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −23.9% | 30 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.17% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
324 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Red June Green July Red August This is what Bitcoin price history suggests Bitcoin could possibly see some downside wicking below the new Monthly Open in early July But history suggests price should be able expand to the upside as the month progresses $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.4% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.20 | 3 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“#BTC Bitcoin has finally Monthly Closed below the $60k support which has been showing progressive signs of weakness over an extended period of time now With this new Close, Bitcoin is technically positioned to turn the $60k area into new resistance Granted, there is scope for relief upside from here but that relief would most likely serve to turn this old support into new resistance to fully confirm the breakdown over time $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC It's official Bitcoin has Monthly Candle Closed below the 50-Month EMA (purple) Which is exactly what tends to happen at this very moment in the cycle when comparing historical cycles Generally, prices tends to lose the 50-Month EMA and then turn it into new resistance before additional downside over time $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin resumed its downtrend $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/7KTTeqYNd0 https://t.co/HAojMq7hW1”
“#BTC Bitcoin has officially dropped to new lows for the year of 2026 Which means Bitcoin is now deviating -16% below its 2021 old All Time Highs in this current 2026 Bear Market Getting closer and closer to the -22% deviation below 2017 old All Time Highs from the 2022 Bear Market Even with this recent additional downside, history suggests there's still time left to go and room for extra downside $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to shape up for a mid-Summer relief rally After all, Bitcoin is down -21% this month alone Typically, after such strong sell-side Monthly candles, price tends to experience at least some short-term relief And it would be very 2022-esque if this turns out to be the case (August would cancel out any upside registered in July though) $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin is on the cusp of Daily Closing beneath the key support (red) for the 4th consecutive day, treating it as new resistance throughout Technically, turning this area into new resistance would confirm the breakdown to precede additional downside But with the new Weekly, Monthly and Quarterly candle closes all just around the corner, it would be wise to wait to observe those first confirmations for additional insight Most importantly - where will the June Monthly Close occur? As that would dictate where a potential July relief rally would start from $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC With the new June Monthly Close just around the corner... It's becoming increasingly likely that Bitcoin will close below the 50-Month EMA and likely bearish retest it into new resistance in July and reject in August This cycle has repeated 2022 tendencies very closely thus far and looks like that will continue throughout the Summer $BTC #Bitcoin”
“Here's Why Bitcoin Could Crash Lower #BTC $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/CQJ5Rl2GW3”
“If history repeats, Bitcoin could enjoy a green July and a red August to cancel that upside out Which means Bitcoin will probably be at the same price as today in August $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin”
“At some point, Bitcoin will likely enjoy a prolonged Summer relief rally And it will be one of last major relief rallies in this Bear Cycle before a Bear Market Bottom is finally reached $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to lose Weekly supports and turn them into new resistance First Bitcoin turned February lows into new resistance And recently Bitcoin turned early June lows into new resistance as well $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/W8xMkYa96E https://t.co/4t3EMXeMvL”
“There's no need to panic Flowers need rain to grow Bitcoin needs downside to enable future upside #BTC $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC This is still the game plan for the rest of the Summer Once June Monthly Closes, we'll know from which price July will be able to potentially spring into a post-breakdown relief rally Macro-wise, this is still looking very 2022-esque whereby any relief would see the 50-Month EMA (purple) turn into new resistance $BTC #Bitcoin”
“Bitcoin has indeed resumed its downtrend $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/HAojMq7hW1”