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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
17
Top 83% · #11 of 12 ranked
Scored calls
23
15 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
13.0%
3 correct / 20 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-5.89%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-135.5%
Equal stake on all 23 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-5.95%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (17) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 43% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 11.4% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −135.5% | 17 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -5.95% | 17 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
53 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC The reality is that even if the Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom was in already... Then any deeper pullback into a new Macro Higher Low would confirm that Which would allow to build entries at prices not much higher than the absolute bottom And if you build entries there, those entries will outperform 95-99% of investors over the course of the entire Bitcoin cycle More, the Macro Higher Low would offer slight premium prices compared to the absolute bottom but at least that premium is the cost of buying on confirmation You don't need to buy the absolute Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom to do well in a Bull Cycle bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 80.0% |
62 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.45 | 3 | 25% |
30 days · 30d
“#BTC Here's something noteworthy about the Bitcoin February 2026 and June 2026 lows: Both bottomed at roughly the same price point (price green box) and at near identical levels of being Oversold on the RSI (RSI green box) Both times Bitcoin reversed to the upside towards ~$80,000 But when price rallied to the May 2026 highs... Bitcoin was drastically less Overbought on the RSI than it is on this current advance into ~$80,000 More, Bitcoin is forming a Price Lower High, which is important in the context of these major RSI Overbought differences The RSI Higher Highs together with the Price Lower Highs bring about a Hidden Bearish Divergence on the Daily timeframe at this major psychological resistance of ~$80,000 This Hidden Bear Div will persist, unless Bitcoin is able to break into a new Higher High on price bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
“#BTC With only a couple of days to go until the new Monthly Close... Bitcoin is still finding resistance at the confluent historical point of rejection that are the April/May 2026 candle-bodied highs and the Macro Downtrend Monthly Close below the blue horizontal would both solidify this resistance and confirm yet another Macro Lower High bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Every time Bitcoin produced a fake-breakout (red circle) from a price cluster (orange), price would revert back to the cluster And whenever that would happen, Bitcoin would Weekly Close beneath the Cluster Low and bearish retest it into new resistance to confirm additional downside (blue circles) Should Bitcoin reject at its Macro Downtrend and local top here at ~current prices... Then bearish retesting either of the levels located in the future blue circles ($72400 & $66200) would confirm additional downside lower Bearish retest of $72400 could send price into the high mid-$60,000s And bearish retest of $66200 could send price into the low $60,000s $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to try to maintain the highs above the 50-week EMA (purple) while any upside attempt is being immediately rejected Bitcoin needs to hold here a good while to demonstrate price-strength confirmation Once again, if this is a Bear Market Relief Rally (and you can always make this case for as long as price maintains Macro Lower Highs), price won't be able to keep these highs for too long $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin is rejecting from the Macro Downtrend A Monthly Close below the blue resistance would not just solidify another Macro Lower High but would also build a confluent resistance in association with the Macro Downtrend $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/bws93zlkT9 https://t.co/qBMC4CNknc”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed at the highs Now starts the real test If this is a Bear Market Relief Rally, then Bitcoin could pullback as early as this week, or at least over the next few weeks Now it's all about Bitcoin proving sustained strength $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/kQsou2a4Ok https://t.co/JaoTYb6yI3”
“#BTC The Macro Downtrend is a dynamic resistance As a result, it will represent lower prices with each passing month This August, the Macro Downtrend represents the price point of ~$79600 But in September this will drop to ~$76300 With passing time, technically it will be easier to break this Downtrend because it will represent a lower price Which is why if the Bulls truly are in control then Bitcoin should be able to sustain these highs long enough to durably breach the Downtrend In saying that, Bear Market rallies aren't able to sustain their local highs and so time will easily verify the sustainability of this newfound strength for Bitcoin or lack thereof Hovering below the Downtrend incessantly leaves price vulnerable to rejection $BTC #Bitcoin”