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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
7
Top 93% · #20 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
128
14 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
35.2%
45 correct / 83 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-4.19%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-536.5%
Equal stake on all 128 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-5.31%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (15) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 31.3% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −790.7% | 3 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -5.31% | 6 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
326 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC In the previous 2022 Bear Market, Bitcoin deviated -22% below its 2017 old All Time Highs to mark a Bear Market bottom In this current 2026 Bear Market, Bitcoin has deviated only -10.5% below its 2021 old All Time Highs Bitcoin is getting close to a bottom but it's not there quite yet and there's still time left $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
88 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.50 | 0 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“#BTC What are we really looking for at this stage for Bitcoin? Weakening higher timeframe supports Rallies have been getting progressively weaker from the ~$60,000 region (lower green) The mid-2024 rally saw price go up +113% from here But the February 2026 move generated only +38% This current bounce is +4% thus far but it's very likely that the rebound from here will be even weaker And this is how the ~$60,000 area will be completely lost as support over time $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC In Bear Markets, Bitcoin tends to develop multi-month clusters of price action only to form new Macro Lower Highs before then distributing from the clusters to reach new lows The good news is there are 1-2 such clusters left in this Bitcoin Bear Market, with the Bear Market Bottom being the final cluster $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“$USDC Dominance is off to the races Meanwhile Bitcoin's price is now ~$62600 As USDC Dominance climbs, Bitcoin's price will continue to drop #BTC #Bitcoin #USDC https://t.co/sXLOfxaM9u https://t.co/d7NIGY8eV2”
“#BTC Bitcoin rejected from the base of the Macro Triangle, revisited the 50-Month EMA and is now breaking down from the EMA as we speak $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/D9Fj3nmoUl https://t.co/zgkExUVtQ7”
“$BTC Across Bitcoin Bear Markets, July tends to do the opposite to June In 2014, June was a red month but July was a green month In 2018, June was a red month but July was a green month In 2022, June was a red month but July was a green month In 2026, whatever June does - July will likely do the opposite #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“The entire point behind this upcoming $BTC rebound is for Bitcoin to demonstrate weakness at the 50-Month EMA via a lesser rally to form yet another Macro Lower High Historically, Bitcoin tends to rebound initially from the 50-Month EMA but then loses it as support as the Bear Cycle progresses #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“$BTC Bitcoin has reached the 50-Month EMA (purple) And indeed price is now bouncing from here but this overall reaction is likely to be limited Over time, Bitcoin is likely to breakdown from this EMA and continue macro downside in this Bear Market #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/KYV11MFi9D https://t.co/AgZ5hC3zw9”
“$BTC 2021 Bitcoin All Time Highs officially tagged #BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/k5nmIDRj4y”
“Both $BTC 2021 and 2024 All Time Highs don’t inspire confidence as levels of buy-side reaction Which only increases the chances of price breaking down from them over time #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/mZArVZRJY8”
“$USDC Dominance continues its Macro Uptrend Meanwhile Bitcoin has dropped to ~$67000 Investors are Macro Risk-Off, fleeing into Stablecoins and moving away from Bitcoin #BTC #Bitcoin #USDC https://t.co/Z0A9hqXlLf https://t.co/ytjWRuG0Qp”
“$BTC Bitcoin is getting closer and closer to the 50-Month EMA (purple) There could be a limited reaction from there on contact but over time Bitcoin is likely to breakdown from this EMA and continue macro downside in this Bear Market #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/3Eu3g5V3P2 https://t.co/zgkExUVtQ7”
“#BTC It's happening, slowly Bitcoin has rejected from the base of the Macro Triangle and is headed to the 50-Month EMA (purple) $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/FfCXcUUI9p https://t.co/CyzS4wrzQI”
“2024 $BTC All Time Highs never reliably acted as support on higher timeframes (and in fact lately have turned into new resistance) Whereas 2021 #BTC All Time Highs have been demonstrating signs of weakening support #Bitcoin”
“$BTC turning 2024 old All Time Highs into new resistance has indeed increased the chance of revisiting the 2021 All Time Highs #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/k5nmIDRj4y”