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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 2 more calls to rank
Scored calls
13
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
30.0%
3 correct / 7 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
-0.25%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
-3.3%
Equal stake on all 13 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.28%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (44) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 29.4% | 15 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −8.6% | 85 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.28% | 33 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“If #BTC performs a Weekly Candle Close below ~$82500 that would raise concerns of a fake-breakout from the $60k to $80k Macro Range for Bitcoin Especially if ~$82500 is then bearish retested back into resistance $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
74 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.12 | 33 | 25% |
30 days · 24h
“$LIT - Lighter In the absence of bullish confirmation via a Weekly Close above the red Range High resistance... Lighter was always going to remain range-bound here (black square) As a result, additional consolidation to as low as the Range Low is a possibility #BTC #LIT #Lighter”
“#BTC Bitcoin has officially broken to new Macro Higher Highs, invalidating the series of Macro Lower Highs that persisted since October 2025 When a Macro Downtrend ends, a new Macro Uptrend begins $BTC #Bitcoin”