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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 2 more calls to rank
Scored calls
13
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
30.0%
3 correct / 7 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
-0.25%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
-3.3%
Equal stake on all 13 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.28%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (44) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 29.4% | 15 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −8.6% | 85 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.28% | 33 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
7 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin keeps rejecting from the Lower High resistance (black trendline) In fact, today's Daily candle upside wicked beyond it, only to reject again More, Bitcoin keeps Daily Closing inside the orange support region and rejecting from the top of it The Weekly Close will take place in a few hours and so consistent rejecting from this Daily Lower High (black) would force price into a Weekly Close below $82500 Such a Weekly Close would position Bitcoin for a potential bearish retest of ~$82500 into new resistance And if that bearish retest occurs successfully then it could set price up for a drop below $80k within the next few weeks $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
74 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.12 | 33 | 25% |
30 days · 24h
“#BTC Bitcoin has bearish retested ~$83400 into new resistance For continued downside from here however, price would need to keep rejecting from the Lower High (red) and breakdown from this orange $80k region $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/K0wHHS2rRQ https://t.co/1Gdj1hCOAA”
“#BTC Turning ~$83400 into new resistance to reject price strongly on a bearish retest would probably confirm this downside as a longer pullback rather than just a downside deviation like last time $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/Fmo3yZrpzR”
“#BTC The upcoming Weekly Candle Close for Bitcoin could very well be decisive Weekly Close below the ~$82500 level could set price up for a bearish retest of that level to potentially build out a Right Shoulder within the $60k-$80k Macro Range ~$82500 is the transitional price point that will dictate where Bitcoin will build out its next market structure $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Interestingly, the two EMAs (purple 50-week EMA & green 21-week EMA) are converging and slowly building confluence in the mid- to high $70,000s Over time, this confluence will occur at higher prices given the dynamic nature of the EMAs More, a Golden Cross is set to occur over the next several weeks Historically, whenever a pullback has taken place into the two EMAs in early Bull Markets, the pullback bottom would not be too far off, especially whenever deviations below the EMAs would occur After all, successful retesting of the two EMAs in new Bull Markets has sustained bullish momentum for price $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC ~$82500 for Bitcoin right now is the crucial level to reclaim into a new support because of its prior significance as a resistance on the Bear Market Relief Rally earlier this year $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/fLe9rakuUi”
“#BTC Bitcoin has successfully post-breakout retested its Macro Downtrend into new support In doing so, it is technically transitioning from Downtrend into new Macro Uptrend All Bitcoin needs to do going forward is to stay above the Downtrend and/or retest it as support if any deeper pullbacks take place Historically, Bitcoin has more often transitioned into post-breakout Re-Accumulation Ranges (e.g. 2019 & 2023) than gone for Downtrend retests (i.e. 2015) Of course probabilistically, there's a higher chance of Bitcoin developing a newfound post-breakout Re-Accumulation Range in the future in what is technically shaping up to be an early-stage Bull Market but it's worth keeping an open mind to both scenarios After all, since breaking the Macro Downtrend, future pullbacks are likely to take place in the context of Bull Market retracements Which significantly alters the risk side of the equation as opposed to risk in Bear Market Relief Rallies as downside during Bull Market pullbacks tend to be limited before further upside is confirmed $BTC #Bitcoin”