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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
16
Top 84% · #19 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
142
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
71 correct / 71 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.07%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+9.3%
Equal stake on all 142 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.03%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (43) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.5% | 55 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −33.9% | 55 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.03% | 18 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
326 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$USDC Dominance Indeed, investors were short-term Macro Risk On, enabling Bitcoin to do well on its relief rally to $82.5k But now investors are Mid-term Risk Off Over the next ~4 months, investors will keep being Risk-Off & #BTC will keep declining $BTC #USDC #Bitcoin https://t.co/w1ZSNTdMsf https://t.co/5r4Or8L0Zk”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.02 | 27 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“#BTC It has happened Bitcoin rejected from the Macro Triangle base and has lost the 50-Month EMA (purple) as support Now Bitcoin needs to fully confirm this breakdown to enter additional Bearish Acceleration to the downside $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/fnuAzP5K2b https://t.co/zgkExUVtQ7”
“#BTC Bitcoin has deviated -14% below its 2021 old All Time Highs thus far $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/I4qkofdJz0 https://t.co/vYXua1MY9Y”
“The next major #BTC milestones to watch out for are as follows: a) Bitcoin producing a limited rebound from ~$60000 to demonstrate weakening support b) Whether the February lows will turn into new resistance on this rebound $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has only deviated -4.5% below the 200-week SMA (orange) Historically, Bitcoin has deviated anything between -14% to -31% below the 200-week SMA to find its absolute Bear Market Bottom $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/faCujW8M5b https://t.co/e9jO0WGmm2”
“#BTC One of the major mistakes many people have made about Bitcoin is thinking a bottom was in already (Denial) But months from now, a major mistake will be to think Bitcoin will continue to go lower, even after it has actually bottomed (Bearish Euphoria) $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Historically, buying Bitcoin below old All Time Highs from the previous cycle has been an immensely profitable strategy Of course, there is still scope for additional downside for $BTC over the next few months and so even better entries likely lay ahead But at a high level, investors who bought Bitcoin at current prices will probably be very happy with their entries, years from now #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC There tend to be a handful of „Bearish Acceleration” phases in every Bear Market Bitcoin is currently going through one now Over these next 5 months or so, Bitcoin may only have 1 or max. 2 more periods of Bearish Acceleration before the final Bear Market bottom is formed $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“$ETH Ethereum has finally broken down from the multi-year uptrend line The multi-year technical uptrend is over Price has revisited the orange area for the first time since early 2025 If price Monthly Closes beneath orange and turns it into new resistance, there's a good chance #ETH could drop to ~$1000 (black) At orange support for the moment but it's likely a weakening demand area #Crypto #Ethereum”
“It's not just $USDC Dominance that's now experiencing an increase It's $USDT Dominance, to a greater degree even In fact, USDT Dominance has a good chance of breaking to 10%+ in this cycle And if history repeats, USDT DOM would peak around the same time as the Bitcoin $BTC price bottom, before then developing a new Macro Lower High in the months afterwards #BTC #Bitcoin #USDC #USDT”
“I regularly send Bitcoin analysis like this if you’re interested: https://t.co/02pHAY9jq8 $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin”
“Looks like June will be a bad red month for Bitcoin History suggests July could be a green month But only insofar to turn old major support into new resistance to set up a future wave of continued macro downside $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/Sj2OoOXS5K”
“$BTC If you think about diminishing returns to the upside in Bitcoin Bull Markets then one could make a good argument for deep deviations below old All Time Highs occurring in Bear Markets becoming the norm Of course, you have to balance that with the progressive shallowing of Bitcoin Bear Market retracements But this shallowing is magnitudes less pronounced (7-10% difference across bear cycles) than the diminishing of returns in Bull Markets (100s of % difference across bull cycles) #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“$BTC Bitcoin is on the cusp of entering a period that comes along only once every four years and will set your portfolio up for the entire upcoming multi-year Bull Market Navigate the market with me here: https://t.co/02pHAY9jq8 #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/eYUviWU9Na https://t.co/aQiDvvEDgM”
“$BTC Bitcoin is now breaking down from the 50-Month EMA (purple) #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/AWUObTnHLr https://t.co/gtf55zfj6s”