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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
16
Top 84% · #19 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
142
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
71 correct / 71 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.07%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+9.3%
Equal stake on all 142 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.03%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (43) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.5% | 55 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −33.9% | 55 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.03% | 18 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
326 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Downside deviations below old All Time Highs tend to take the shape of a multi-month cluster So it's a little premature to say this cluster is over after only a few weeks here $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/vYXua1MY9Y”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.02 | 27 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“#BTC At this moment, Bitcoin is rebounding from the 200-week SMA In past cycles however, #Bitcoin would deviate around -30% below the 200 SMA There's still time for this $BTC downside deviation to take place, especially if this rebound forms yet another Macro Lower High soon https://t.co/ecEJNbVDr3 https://t.co/e9jO0WGmm2”
“#BTC Bitcoin is now enjoying a bit of relief following a bout of high sell-side volume into a historical demand (purple) However, it's important to reiterate once more: "Previous crashes which occurred on high seller volume in this Bear Market actually preceded temporary local bottoms to kickstart limited rallies of relief before additional macro downside over time" $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC "Any rebound in the meantime will be much weaker than the relief rally we saw earlier this year to highlight $60k as a progressively weakening support before breakdown over time" $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/VvgKBPY6Vk https://t.co/oT6BfG5b2G”
“#BTC Turning the red area denoted by the February 2026 lows and purple 50-Month EMA into new resistance would probably send price lower over time $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/A0smCKhUZU”
“Don’t worry, I’ll be bullish for the next 3 years once the #BTC downside has concluded https://t.co/nvxzA6xkJv”
“#BTC This deviation below old All Time Highs for Bitcoin tends to take months to fully develop to ultimately form a Bear Market bottom Though Bitcoin has deviated -14% below old ATHs thus far, this process is still technically ongoing and will be for a while $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/vYXua1MY9Y”
“#BTC Bitcoin is currently treating the 200-week SMA as support But this SMA has historically proven to be an unreliable support, with price breaking down from it over time $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/JYjKY4JnJz”
“#BTC June is probably going to be a red month July is probably going to be a green month $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/Sj2OoOXS5K”
“#BTC This current bounce is most likely going to demonstrate how $60,000 is a progressively weakening support $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/oT6BfG5b2G”
“Survive the next ~120 days to then enjoy the following 1000+ days of #BTC upside $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/CYejClAcUS”
“#BTC Survive the next ~120 days of red To thrive in the 1000+ days of green from Bear Market Bottom into Bull Market Peak $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/3QRJJwtQeh https://t.co/F71GqzrnQb”
“#BTC Bitcoin followed the playbook perfectly Period of limited upside relief And now $BTC has dropped back into $60,000 Additional macro downside likely to still come Any rebound in the meantime will be much weaker than the relief rally we saw earlier this year to highlight $60k as a progressively weakening support before breakdown over time #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC One could make a case for Seller Exhaustion on this recent bout of Bearish Acceleration Bitcoin crashed right into the ~$60,000 historical demand area (purple) on high sell-side volume Previous crashes which occurred on high seller volume in this Bear Market actually preceded temporary local bottoms to kickstart limited rallies of relief before additional macro downside over time Therefore, this $60k historical demand area is very likely a weakening support so while a short-term rebound could make sense... Over time price is likely to breakdown to new 2026 lows The most important level are the February 2026 lows and if they act as resistance then $60k may not be able to prop price up for too long $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has retraced -39% since the EMA crossover took place History has repeated yet again EMA Crossovers continue to precede Macro Downside $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/78vPqmQ9nZ https://t.co/NZvrheCeid”