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@notthreadguy · i go live at 8:30am est. working on @counterpartytv | @phantom @polymarket
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 14 more calls to rank
Scored calls
1
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
—
0 correct / 0 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.41%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.4%
Equal stake on all 1 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.26%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (49) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | — | 50 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.4% | 55 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.26% | 50 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
90 days · 4h
1 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@ThinkingUSD bro not right now”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 7.7% |
36 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.27 | 50 | 25% |