@blknoiz06 · coldest nigga breathing | @BullpenFi @MarketBubble
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
25
Top 75% · #14 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
65
1 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
55.2%
16 correct / 13 incorrect · 36 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.35%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-22.8%
Equal stake on all 65 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-2.40%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (35) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.5% | 63 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −142.2% | 22 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -2.40% | 13 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
2 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“got absolutely smoked on this btw, not great sign for the rest of these $1T IPOs coming down the pipe rest of the year will keep tracking it and wait for signs of bottom to form but in no rush to get back in this atm $SPCX https://t.co/w3P8xrBdDE”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
78 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.16 | 19 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“if im right on this & memory does not sustain the pump post $MU earnings then Q3 is going to be red and we will get discounts to buy everything, confirmed on price action beneath the lows pre-ER around $1050 mag7 still weak and still trapped in the loop of spending infinite while open source models improve for much cheaper believe good spot to be derisking if you are up fat over the past year as stuff is up legit 100x might be overly optimistic on the crypto side of things assuming feb lows hold on BTC & SOL, wrong if weeklies & monthlies close beneath $60k / $60 & they would likely haircut -30%+ from breaking those lows if you dont want to take chance of breakdown beneath lows, you can derisk positions & wait for strength above $66k & $80 on weekly close which is likely when uptrend resumed on both, dont need to give this recommendation to active traders as they'll respond to pa in real time but am aware that most are not doing that so much more difficult to respond quickly miss about 20% of upside for a higher hit rate trade”