@blknoiz06 · coldest nigga breathing | @BullpenFi @MarketBubble
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
34
Top 66% · #15 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
122
1 pending · 11 unresolved
Hit rate
50.8%
62 correct / 60 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.29%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-35.9%
Equal stake on all 122 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.85%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (47) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 15% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.7% | 73 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −142.2% | 24 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.85% | 30 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
305 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“got stopped on this so will wait, still think this is the best asset to hedge shorts with https://t.co/wMsnClkNVY”
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @blknoiz06 head to head.
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 88.9% |
73 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.05 | 39 | 25% |
All time · stated
“$SPCX gonna rip today”
“solana looks good”
“yeah, I'm gonna take this $SPCX trade right now if I was to long this now, my stop would be underneath the low of $158, targeting $190 high https://t.co/cZOkt1jfgM https://t.co/wLyw1h0Qwl”
“"I actually think $SPCX might be a long, I'm probably going to position on this.... tonight" "Are you baiting clips right now" "No I'm not, I'm gonna do it" https://t.co/0EW21MEJaB”
“yea agree https://t.co/uzAsMsgNzQ”
“CPI reading tomorrow, Warsh's first FOMC & dot plots next week, stocks up infinite with very little pullback so far + summer seasonality hitting all at the same time would make sense for some derisking to happen & basing out over next few months IMO, not a believer in the idea of a rotation from tech names into BTC or ETH here MSTR also looks incredibly weak with very little support below”
“CPI reading tomorrow, Warsh's first FOMC & dot plots next week, stocks up infinite with very little pullback so far + summer seasonality hitting all at the same time would make sense for some derisking to happen & basing out over next few months IMO, not a believer in the idea of a rotation from tech names into BTC or ETH here MSTR also looks incredibly weak with very little support below”
“@fede_intern idk about the whole industry but i do think btc and sol also go lower yes”
“@fede_intern idk about the whole industry but i do think btc and sol also go lower yes”
“shorting $ETH $1640, adding $1680-1700 stop $1735 target $1521, $1385, $1000, $888, $0”
“was wrong on $60k breakdown for now, closed shorts from higher, expecting consolidation between 60-65k for now still think that a lot of alts look good, many got completely wiped out on 10/10 and have been sideways for 8 months with some building momentum core should be HYPE, others like [VVV, JTO, WLD, LIT, NEAR, ZEC] look good to me also will still look for hedge shorts on BTC/ETH/SOL on retests, if btc gets back above 65k cleanly i think it goes back to range highs around 75-80k & will cut bearish bias on majors”
“was wrong on $60k breakdown for now, closed shorts from higher, expecting consolidation between 60-65k for now still think that a lot of alts look good, many got completely wiped out on 10/10 and have been sideways for 8 months with some building momentum core should be HYPE, others like [VVV, JTO, WLD, LIT, NEAR, ZEC] look good to me also will still look for hedge shorts on BTC/ETH/SOL on retests, if btc gets back above 65k cleanly i think it goes back to range highs around 75-80k & will cut bearish bias on majors”
“disagree, crypto is just going through a maturation phase stablecoins, perps, & tokenization as themes will continue to proliferate throughout the global economy, and there will be many successful crypto startups that do well hyperliquid is just the first of many startups that has done a great job of illustrating how open blockchains & tokenization of a business can be a dominant combination current issues with sentiment around crypto are due to the largest coins not doing well, BTC went from $0.01 to $100k per coin in less than two decades, it very successfully achieved it's goal of maintaining value against the dollar as USD continuously lost its value, present day problems with the ponzification of bitcoin due to saylor's shenanigans is a temporary thing, i dont think you see btc trend aggressively again until that situation is resolved, also quantum concerns are real, those two things along with exit liquidity from institutions were strong reasons for BTC OGs to derisk into excess liquidity as we've seen examples of with that large galaxy otc sale they facilitated ($9B sale in 2025 for one entity), there are many individuals like that who are up infinite but bitcoin underperforming for a few years after outperforming every other asset on earth for over a decade does not mean crypto is dead, thats silly ethereum also is suffering for its own individual reasons, i feel like ive talked about this enough on here but yes its been outcompeted by new entrants & has not done a good job of making eth a great asset to hold, every L1 is struggling on the demand side because historically the story around these tokens was future growth & not real revenues, but now that hyperliquid has demonstrably shown that you can connect a business directly to the L1 token the previous L1s are struggling bc they dont capture enough revenues from the apps that use their infra, eth has it even worse bc it also outsources execution activity to rollups but this also does not mean there cannot be more successful crypto startups there is a very clear trend of regulation improving for crypto in general, which will make it much easier for entrepreneurs to build businesses that use crypto, it is also clear that existing tech companies are acknowledging the advantages of using blockchains as we've seen with robinhood, stripe/tempo, & others AI has taken a lot of the mindshare away from crypto as tech stocks have been much better trades since the bottom in 2022, id say it would be extremely foolish to not be splitting time between stocks & crypto as a trader, before it made sense to be overexposed to crypto if you were willing to take on the risk as it was a new industry that experienced supernormal returns as it became more mainstream three underdiscussed tailwinds for crypto as AI models become exponentially better over the next few years 1) open source AI will become a lot more competitive with closed source AI 2) it will become more easier for smaller teams to build successful startups using software 3) stablecoins & blockchains are much better rails for AI agents to transact on combination of these trends means that it's likely that you see more crypto experimentation w/ tokens not less, especially as regulatory environment improves *and* retail speculation becomes a megatrend”
“wasnt trying to be mean but yes the response was silly yes $20B in price insensitive buy pressure does raise the market cap btc & sol barely touched ATHs, & both also had price insensitive buy pressure that we do not currently have (saylor/etfs/dats) which is also a problem but that is unrelated to eth & how tom lee impacted it a meaningful amount, if you look at the soleth pair, it was up only the entire bull market until he slammed $20B into the chart after eth had underperformed every other crypto asset, so when you say its back at the same level & insinuate it will go back to ATH in 4 months, thats why i asked are you going to find another tom lee to do the same thing, because if not i dont think you will see the same result”