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@blknoiz06 · coldest nigga breathing | @BullpenFi @MarketBubble
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
93
Top 7% · #2 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
123
0 pending · 11 unresolved
Hit rate
61.2%
74 correct / 47 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.22%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+27.2%
Equal stake on all 123 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.25%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (79) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 15% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 61.7% | 94 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −8.7% | 64 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.25% | 82 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
305 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“i have a thesis that buybacks don't actually work hyperliquid makes $800M annualized revenue pump fun makes $440M annualized revenue $HYPE trades at $65B FDV while $PUMP trades at $1.4B FDV both teams do regularly recurring buybacks with portions of their profits from the business but they trade at vastly different ratios to their revenues i believe the difference is not in how much actual revenue is generated by the business but instead its reflective of the trust premium ascribed to the team determined by their actions and decisions in the market, hyperliquid never overpromised anything, only focused on shipping product and emphatically rewarded their core users based on pre-determined metrics that contributed the most to the platform, the core users of hyperliquid have a very high trust rating with Jeff, & even if you believe the perps revenues are slightly more durable which maybe they are, i believe this trust premium on their execution and social alignment with the community is a major factor in why the token trades so well in contrast, pump fun made $1B in revenue, raised another $1B in their ICO, and promised an airdrop to users that was never delivered, even though they are one of the most successful and consistent businesses in crypto, they do not have social alignment with their core userbase and therefore do not have a comparable trust premium that hyperliquid has, recently it seems they've made concerted effort to improve comms and talk to community more, i believe that if they were ever to seriously focus attention on shifting this dynamic by actually doing the airdrop they've promised and responding to the concerns of their core user base, then the token would trade 10-15x higher, as it would also likely materially increase their volume, attention, and resulting revenues on their platform bitcoin makes $0 in revenue but has a ~$1.3T market cap, it has the greatest trust premium of any asset to ever exist, people know that there will only ever be 21M coins, and they know that the network will always continue to function no matter what to fulfill its necessary actions this is part of what ive been talking about when i say that there is intangible value that contributes to the valuation of a business in addition to the tangible value that is determined purely from revenues and other metrics trust, memetics, and attention are all very important and heavily underdiscussed in markets”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 92.9% |
76 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 76 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“@TylerDurden $ANSEM will be the #1 top performing altcoin this cycle by an extremely wide margin ill come back to this tweet sometime in 2027”
“@RJCcapital i said this at the top tho https://t.co/RumzufMIOF”
“@RJCcapital i said this at the top tho https://t.co/RumzufMIOF”
“very healthy price action on majors, $BTC & $ETH now catching up to solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 everyone was extremely bearish going into the lows two weeks ago & believe most on CT did not buy the bottom, ironically enough believe it was tradfi cash heavy buyers stepping in to scoop coins at yearly discounts CT heavily indexes on 4 year cycle timing & expected lows in Q4 of this year, believe smart money saw discounts + fear around Saylor situation while AI names were up a ton & started bidding Q3 will be very important for determining momentum going into the end of the year, a lot of people will chase if price action continues to be constructive even onchain showing signs of life, and institutions like @RobinhoodApp being openly bullish crypto & RWAs is a great sign to encourage more sidelined capital to allocate + forcing crypto native teams to be more on the ball w/ their strategies for growing the entire pie”
“very healthy price action on majors, $BTC & $ETH now catching up to solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 everyone was extremely bearish going into the lows two weeks ago & believe most on CT did not buy the bottom, ironically enough believe it was tradfi cash heavy buyers stepping in to scoop coins at yearly discounts CT heavily indexes on 4 year cycle timing & expected lows in Q4 of this year, believe smart money saw discounts + fear around Saylor situation while AI names were up a ton & started bidding Q3 will be very important for determining momentum going into the end of the year, a lot of people will chase if price action continues to be constructive even onchain showing signs of life, and institutions like @RobinhoodApp being openly bullish crypto & RWAs is a great sign to encourage more sidelined capital to allocate + forcing crypto native teams to be more on the ball w/ their strategies for growing the entire pie”
“very healthy price action on majors, $BTC & $ETH now catching up to solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 everyone was extremely bearish going into the lows two weeks ago & believe most on CT did not buy the bottom, ironically enough believe it was tradfi cash heavy buyers stepping in to scoop coins at yearly discounts CT heavily indexes on 4 year cycle timing & expected lows in Q4 of this year, believe smart money saw discounts + fear around Saylor situation while AI names were up a ton & started bidding Q3 will be very important for determining momentum going into the end of the year, a lot of people will chase if price action continues to be constructive even onchain showing signs of life, and institutions like @RobinhoodApp being openly bullish crypto & RWAs is a great sign to encourage more sidelined capital to allocate + forcing crypto native teams to be more on the ball w/ their strategies for growing the entire pie”
“very healthy price action on majors, $BTC & $ETH now catching up to solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 everyone was extremely bearish going into the lows two weeks ago & believe most on CT did not buy the bottom, ironically enough believe it was tradfi cash heavy buyers stepping in to scoop coins at yearly discounts CT heavily indexes on 4 year cycle timing & expected lows in Q4 of this year, believe smart money saw discounts + fear around Saylor situation while AI names were up a ton & started bidding Q3 will be very important for determining momentum going into the end of the year, a lot of people will chase if price action continues to be constructive even onchain showing signs of life, and institutions like @RobinhoodApp being openly bullish crypto & RWAs is a great sign to encourage more sidelined capital to allocate + forcing crypto native teams to be more on the ball w/ their strategies for growing the entire pie”
“solana looks good”
“@hasntpumpedyet solana alone is going to 5x from here brother, what do you think is going to happen to the largest & most well known onchain beta 🤨 consider how much volume and attention is going to come back as momentum starts again 😁”
“see you at $150 $SOL https://t.co/dzm01dQrdj”
“@ExitLiqCapital lighter and robinhood L2s are sneakily best setup for an eth bull thesis in a very long time”
“@3rdeye_crypto $SOL bottom already in imo”
“the most bullish thing that happened this week: saylor SOLD bitcoin nobody flinched. the fear is priced in https://t.co/ajJYwCc8if”
“@TNTCapitalC gold? the largest asset in the world? the one with 20 trillion market cap?”