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@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
98
Top 2% · #1 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
30
2 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
78.6%
11 correct / 3 incorrect · 16 neutral
Avg return / call
+1.98%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+59.5%
Equal stake on all 30 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.29%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (85) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 17% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 81.0% | 100 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −10.5% | 94 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.29% | 85 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@follis_ There is realised price and theres another metric - I cant remember the name which is slightly lower than realised price... I used to track this in previous cycles... any reminders?”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 63.0% |
55 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.22 | 85 | 25% |
All time · stated
“@trader1sz I think its one of those assets where... If it does give another leg lower then... 1. DCA on the way up - right hand side of a trend 2. Buy a bag - set and forget... 3. Eth often moves late / post btc run... so there's that to contemplate 1.x k > 5k = good bet imo”
“$BTC -Feb highs -12/25 weekly bands -So far exhaustive action into resistance -Rejection on the profile - with price unable to hold above the 2 week high - Sunday timeline pretty excited... https://t.co/YidFj9l6Y6 https://t.co/E3aqZcX8pf”