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@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
11
Top 89% · #20 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
32
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
43.8%
7 correct / 9 incorrect · 16 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.14%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-4.5%
Equal stake on all 32 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.21%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (32) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 42.4% | 39 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −7.6% | 79 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.21% | 15 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 55.6% |
45 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.24 | 6 | 25% |
All time · 4h