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@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
11
Top 89% · #20 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
32
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
43.8%
7 correct / 9 incorrect · 16 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.14%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-4.5%
Equal stake on all 32 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.21%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (32) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 42.4% | 39 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −7.6% | 79 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.21% | 15 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
7 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Was always likely to help fuel the move higher…. Let the liquidity games continue https://t.co/MAib7CDRfR https://t.co/Qh2TuB9wS9”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 55.6% |
45 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.24 | 6 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“@ExitLiqCapital Just as well it isnt 2%... yet....”
“$BTC Update from last week Was 57s it... ? Started chipping into longs after today's failed auction below the lows. The continued inability to find acceptance beneath the 2024 value area low remains constructive for considering longs until proven otherwise. Still a decent amount of stacked supply up above to work through yet... Overall I'm looking to trade the 2024 range value area / rotational trade with the poc as the 1st objective.”
“@follis_ There is realised price and theres another metric - I cant remember the name which is slightly lower than realised price... I used to track this in previous cycles... any reminders?”
“$BTC Fairly contained price action between 76 - 78 with price having spent most of the time trading Mondays range. 76 remains a key level - confluent with May M/O H1, H4 12/25 EMA's still exhibit price weakness. A Daily 12/25 cross - not confirmed... but looking likely Fair chance price trades the set of poor lows established on Monday and Wednesday Still positioned short from 81.5s - with no reason to close out just yet - above the mid range would be a local shift in context - opening a move back towards the highs... Have a fab and blessed weekend all.”
“@Tom__Capital 🎯”
“@trader1sz I think its one of those assets where... If it does give another leg lower then... 1. DCA on the way up - right hand side of a trend 2. Buy a bag - set and forget... 3. Eth often moves late / post btc run... so there's that to contemplate 1.x k > 5k = good bet imo”