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@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
45
Top 55% · #12 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
25
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
54.5%
6 correct / 5 incorrect · 14 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+1.00%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+24.9%
Equal stake on all 25 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.35%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (52) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 51.3% | 30 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −47.8% | 94 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.35% | 39 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
5 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@dea_yora Currently have downside exposure via alts In terms of bitcoin - still positioned short and took some off overnight... Looking for a reason to cut and reverse...”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 47.8% |
33 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.11 | 67 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“$BTC Pushed on slightly higher than anticipated but nevertheless was a good setup reverse side from 64s for down rotation once it traded through local s/r Would also keep a watch on equities / indices eg soxl sold off aggresively during Asia session (eth) - cash session will be telling imo.”
“$BTC Pushed on slightly higher than anticipated but nevertheless was a good setup reverse side from 64s for down rotation once it traded through local s/r Would also keep a watch on equities / indices eg soxl sold off aggresively during Asia session (eth) - cash session will be telling imo.”
“@trader1sz I think its one of those assets where... If it does give another leg lower then... 1. DCA on the way up - right hand side of a trend 2. Buy a bag - set and forget... 3. Eth often moves late / post btc run... so there's that to contemplate 1.x k > 5k = good bet imo”
“bitcoin:native Inefficiency traded into previous consolidation before the bigger drop in Feb Been fascinating watching the flows Continous aggressive sells being soaked by passive flows... offers lifted - shorts choked... price pops higher... will keep happening until the aggressors are longs opening into resistance for not much gain vs sellers forcing it down with no luck... Would like to see a move up into supply at 83/84 and eth to take out its highs around 25s H1 - 12/25 been intact nicely - first signs of weakness is when momentum dissipates. Conditions been great for ltf rotations”