@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
45
Top 55% · #12 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
25
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
54.5%
6 correct / 5 incorrect · 14 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+1.00%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+24.9%
Equal stake on all 25 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.35%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (52) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 51.3% | 30 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −47.8% | 94 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.35% | 39 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
70 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH Eth has been rangebound for the last several years... I'd like to believe this goes past the previous ath's in terms of a cyclical play... The play for me is simple - I'll keep adding if theres anything meaningful correction... and hedge spot exposure at key macro levels... Bankless sends its regards...”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 47.8% |
33 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.11 | 67 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“Attached the 12/25 weekly https://t.co/luaAlmWvgv”
“$BTC A weekly close around here should all but confirm the 12/25 EMA crossover... Historically, that shift has preceded some strong momentum phases higher. Interim, $82–83k is the key zone. For continuation longs, I want to see price trade through supply and find acceptance above it alongside the 365D rolling VWAP. Do that and there’s scope for the move to accelerate, particularly if shorts are forced to unwind and would look for price to trade the range qtr / value area high around 90k If rejected, $78.5–79k the 3-week composite VAH... is the first level I want to see hold. Lose that and I’d look for rotation back through value towards the opposite extreme as an intraweek trade. On a deeper HTF correction, $68–72k is the major reaction zone, 12/25 bands + macro mid. Hold there and the broader bullish structure remains intact. Even an extended range, imo, is more about accumulating value than invalidating the HTF thesis. My broader bias shifted in July: see earlier tweet. Spot: buying key levels / confirmed breakouts. Perps: trading level to level on both sides - which is mainly what I comment on... separate from the HTF view. Good luck”
“@Tom__Capital 🎯”
“@dea_yora Currently have downside exposure via alts In terms of bitcoin - still positioned short and took some off overnight... Looking for a reason to cut and reverse...”
“@ExitLiqCapital Just as well it isnt 2%... yet....”
“Not surprised to see many alts to partially pullback tbh - as is generally the case when heading into uncertainty around CPI or FOMC... Key for me now in terms of context is that Bitcoin is trading below - Previous weeks vwap - Developing weekly vwap - Developing monthly vwap Session wise - failure to find acceptance back above the latter two then my expectation is that we should in theory trade down into previous weeks low... which is what I positioned for on Sunday night along with some alts. Otherwise not much else that I'm interested in at present - mainly talking to myself on here if anything... But pleased with the perfomance so far since coming back to trading in sept - still early days and anticipating a decent month in terms of macro driven volatility.”
“Price auctioned higher but ran into a decent wall of supply around the 365D rolling VWAP, with stacked sells sitting around the June & August swing highs / raneg highs. Was a decent move, but there was still a fair bit of sell-side to chew through if price wanted to continue higher. Current view is pretty simple, 50wma & 365d rvwap are the key contextual levels for me here. If price trades back below the 50w particularly then that’s effectively 3 attempts, 3 rejections - and back below. I’d be looking for a move into previous weeks vwap - rotate lower around 77-78s - should that hold then it becomes interesting again with it being a shallow consolidation - back below here then... I guess if its looks like a range and trades like one - then it probably is one...”
“@ExitLiqCapital Eventually... 0.75 - might take a while but will be worth it imo https://t.co/NayB78NEZ6”
“$BTC For sustained bull-market conditions, I want to see the 50W curve higher with price accepting above it and developing a multi-week/month trend. By that point, the lower 12/21 structure should already be aligned. Trading aside, my very high-timeframe view remains unchanged: Own Bitcoin. 2027 → the debasement trade begins...? LTF, I expect the coming months to offer a much better trading environment — events, volatility and two-way opportunity. Support: Macro mid range - confluent with 12/25s Resistance: 50w Moving average - give or take...”
“Hopefully we see some very good buying opportunities both from a price and structural perspective.... The sit and the waiting part”
“$BTC Higher Time Frame Having shorted this move from the 125s, I personally see little value in continuing to press swing shorts at these levels. My focus has shifted back toward spot accumulation, where I believe the more attractive asymmetric play lies in identifying high-quality buying opportunities for the longer-term move over the next several quarters.”
“$BTC 60.5 - 61.3 the zone that needs to hold imo Previous weeks vvwap - 60.5s Monthly developing vwap 61.3 Acceptance through those - brings July lows into play... https://t.co/BHAv7AwDCp”
“$btc 1st objective traded 👍 2024 value area range poc, confluent with prev months vwap Benson & Hedges https://t.co/2wKeB9H8TG https://t.co/uOGpCCamyj”
“$BTC The game plan hasn't changed since February's range was established. Sell the upper extremes. Buy the lower extremes has been the clear plan for me as mentioned on here and various streams earlier this year. Until the market finds acceptance outside of that range, I'll continue trading it accordingly. Additional charts - overall would like to see a mean reversion trade back into the weekly bands for longing into then reversing for another sell rotation.”