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@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 4 more calls to rank
Scored calls
11
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
20.0%
1 correct / 4 incorrect · 6 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.07%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.8%
Equal stake on all 11 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.03%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (38) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 18% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 27.5% | 6 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −1.2% | 81 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.03% | 38 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
6 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@htltimor the weekly... whats on your radar...”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 53.8% |
41 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.07 | 38 | 25% |
90 days · 1h
“The StochRSI When an indicator remains overbought for weeks without convincing price expansion or high-volume continuation, I become increasingly cautious of downside risk... The indicator isn't actionable in isolation, but helps me determine when to be aggressive versus defensive... I generally use it as a mechanical oscillator along with htf supply and demand zones But ultimately - a trade strategy and its execution is what is more important. Bitcoin and various alts... exhibiting signs of the weekly stoch remaining overbought at the moment...”
“@trader1sz Reminds of what happened in 2023... from 25k to 19k if it does”
“$BTC A weekly close around here should all but confirm the 12/25 EMA crossover... Historically, that shift has preceded some strong momentum phases higher. Interim, $82–83k is the key zone. For continuation longs, I want to see price trade through supply and find acceptance above it alongside the 365D rolling VWAP. Do that and there’s scope for the move to accelerate, particularly if shorts are forced to unwind and would look for price to trade the range qtr / value area high around 90k If rejected, $78.5–79k the 3-week composite VAH... is the first level I want to see hold. Lose that and I’d look for rotation back through value towards the opposite extreme as an intraweek trade. On a deeper HTF correction, $68–72k is the major reaction zone, 12/25 bands + macro mid. Hold there and the broader bullish structure remains intact. Even an extended range, imo, is more about accumulating value than invalidating the HTF thesis. My broader bias shifted in July: see earlier tweet. Spot: buying key levels / confirmed breakouts. Perps: trading level to level on both sides - which is mainly what I comment on... separate from the HTF view. Good luck”
“@dea_yora Currently have downside exposure via alts In terms of bitcoin - still positioned short and took some off overnight... Looking for a reason to cut and reverse...”
“@ExitLiqCapital Just as well it isnt 2%... yet....”