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@ThePenguinXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #71 (Top 80%) · All time · 24 hours horizon How it’s ranked
👤 The 21-year-old trader behind The Penguin. 🌊 Elliott Wave without hindsight. 🎟️ If I’m wrong, you’ll see that too. 💎 https://t.co/SfTcag3Wrk - 10x
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
37
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
45.9%
17 correct / 20 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.3%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.5%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+8.1%“$BTC bullish count looking much more likely here 🧪 With an internal wave 1 now appearing complete, this is becoming my preferred count. https://t.co/vQlzl26oGi https://t.co/KKfD1w81vO”
Worst call
-6.6%“Selling everything when $SOL hits $1,096. No further questions. 🤝 https://t.co/MbEBnGRM2U”
Every token @ThePenguinXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 29 May 2026
4 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 34 calls since 11 May 2026
23 bullish · 11 bearish
Last called 25 Aug 2026 · 2 calls since 22 Aug 2026
2 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
68 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026, 08:38 | “First proper market update in a while. 🧪 $BTC can push into the 70s first and still leave a higher-timeframe route toward the low-40s. Both can be true. I break down the two counts, what invalidates them, then ETH, HBAR, SOL and XRP. Watch: https://t.co/ra3cMSaPQ6 https://t.co/43PyV4Dqye” |
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All time · 24h
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 24h |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 3 Aug 2026, 08:17 | “$BTC Macro Outlook 🧪 My highest-probability count still points lower. - The October 2025 top looks like an ending diagonal. The decline since fits a complex WXY correction better than a clean five-wave impulse. That keeps $42K on the table currently. There is a valid alternate that takes BTC back above $100K first- but it isn’t my base case. The interesting part? Many alts are already sitting near macro lows. Two valid paths. My overall bias remains lower for Btc and up for alts.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $62,458 | 24h | $63,516 | +1.7% | incorrect |
| 26 Jul 2026, 07:12 | “solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv 🐧 Looking for a major move up over the coming days/weeks. Taken a swing long here - main TP at 0.11826 - Reading this as a 3-3-5 flat - Diagonal finishing off the B wave - Clean break of structure + entry criteria hit Plenty of room for a squeeze higher from here imo. Position taken. Now we wait.” | SOL | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 23 Jul 2026, 15:48 | “$BTC 🧪 Counts a bit unclear working from our July lows upwards at this point in time. Definitely do think that we are working correctively up not impulsively. Nonetheless the direction should be up and I remain bullish unless the trend changes to bearish. Potentially a complex upwards but I have no concrete count on Bitcoin right now and will likely just end up backworking the whole thing afterwards. Alts are in a much better spot at this point in time.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,907 | 24h | $64,027 | -1.4% | incorrect |
| 21 Jul 2026, 05:50 | “Pretty much textbook vertical accumulation here on $BTC. Wouldn't be surprised to see a big move up today and the following days across the board imo. https://t.co/Tr9MDCP3rL” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $65,704 | 24h | $65,937 | +0.4% | correct |
| 17 Jul 2026, 10:22 | “$BTC Went down further than expected here - I did get stopped out at entry on my long but still thinking higher here and looking for another long soon around here. Invalidation is at the impulse low if this count is correct. https://t.co/EyseG5h5zp https://t.co/JwZBQS5Oow” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,120 | 24h | $63,961 | +1.3% | correct |
| 16 Jul 2026, 12:49 | “So far so good...? $BTC https://t.co/9BuAS7YITt https://t.co/MDA85HpxQi” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 16 Jul 2026, 07:57 | “@Cryptobird62028 https://t.co/gGBkDPg9XK” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 16 Jul 2026, 07:20 | “$BTC 🧪 LTF likely completed our wave 1 here of a 3 potentially which we were looking for. - For me now the biggest obvious draw would be $63.6 area. - NPOC, weekly open fib confluence and volume confluence. Would like to see that area get tagged today and tagged quickly before looking for a long to the upside.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 15 Jul 2026, 06:38 | “bitcoin:native 🧪 Still working locally here and following on from the previous update. - We did actually end up front running both the short AOIs and long AOIs which is interesting to see here with a short flat and a tiny wick high. Nonetheless have been scalping lower timeframe PA which is a bit too fast to post on here. I Do think we have upside coming for the next couple of weeks at least and bias is heading to the upside. - Whether we are working correctively or impulsive up both outcomes should at minimum take us to 70K. Looking to scalp long any LTF dips given to 73K where the first AOI lies for my shorts. 🤝” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $64,768 | 24h | $64,719 | -0.1% | incorrect |
| 13 Jul 2026, 06:56 | “$BTC 🧪 Following on from the previous update. Slightly took the high here but I wanted a bit higher in order to short so currently sidelined on Bitcoin, however did catch some nice moves on alts. - Seem to be following the flat path here for either a 2 or B wave to the upside which was the preferred path. Currently watching for a sweep of previous Monday low to clear that up, aligned with a range deviation, standard flat targets and the psychological 60K mark as well as VAL of the exterior range and a nice high volume node. Should be a good week across the board so let's see what we get. 🤝” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 4 Jul 2026, 04:45 | “$BTC 🧪 Looking alright here on the lower timeframes. - Higher timeframe is still quite unclear for me personally so I don't have any definitive outcome just working locally for now. Pretty clear 5 wave down from that 83K high or a WXYXZ is possible for bulls. - Would definitely be looking for longs here, would be even better for a reclaim of VAL to play that up to VAH. 67K big area to get through so for me personally looking for a long to play back to 78K before looking for shorts.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $62,628 | 24h | $62,756 | +0.2% | correct |
| 26 Jun 2026, 21:44 | “Market looks okey Think Btc potential 55k max Altcoins good nontheless” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $59,826 | 24h | $60,102 | +0.5% | incorrect |
| 22 Jun 2026, 11:08 | “$SOL Taken a long here 🤝 https://t.co/NL2Lf6ZmsZ https://t.co/ZhnMD7XKEJ” | SOL | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
| 15 Jun 2026, 05:04 | “solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 🧪 Pretty much fully played out now from around 1 year of price action. While many doubted it would be a top I was pretty vocal on how bad it looked. Now team bull here for Solana - definitely one of the best looking alts currently on the macro. - Would be worth buying spot here. Could potentially put in another low here but overall we are 90% there now to the end goal to complete this macro 1/2 before a big run for Solana. Nicely played see you next year at 300 ish. 🤝” | SOL | ▲ Bullish | — | 24h | — | — | unscored |
