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@ThePenguinXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #80 (Top 90%) · All time · 1 hour horizon How it’s ranked
👤 The 21-year-old trader behind The Penguin. 🌊 Elliott Wave without hindsight. 🎟️ If I’m wrong, you’ll see that too. 💎 https://t.co/SfTcag3Wrk - 10x
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
37
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
54.1%
20 correct / 17 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.2%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.3%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+1.8%“Starting to move here on $ETH 🤝 https://t.co/13ea27OT46 https://t.co/FHu8uzg0ye”
Worst call
-8.4%“Selling everything when $SOL hits $1,096. No further questions. 🤝 https://t.co/MbEBnGRM2U”
Every token @ThePenguinXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 29 May 2026
4 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 34 calls since 11 May 2026
23 bullish · 11 bearish
Last called 25 Aug 2026 · 2 calls since 22 Aug 2026
2 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
31 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2026, 07:32 | “$BTC We had a nice initial move higher, but price then came back and took out the low pretty aggressively. Not what I wanted to see, to be honest. The larger macro picture is still in play, with invalidation at the July lows, but the local low I was watching hasn’t held. For now, I’m waiting for price to come lower again before looking for the next move higher. Eyes on $70K first, then $64K if we get a deeper move.” |
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All time · 1h
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 1h |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 13 Oct 2026, 11:10 | “Been a while since a proper $BTC update 🧪 LTF, I think we’re working through a complex WXYXZ. That fits my altcoin counts across the board, although the structure could still change. Currently looking for a larger flush towards $76K - $78K, where I have the most confluence for the next leg higher. If that sets up, I’m expecting a sizeable move. Still waiting for alts to come a touch lower before picking up some higher-timeframe swing longs too. Higher timeframe bullish. Lower timeframe, still leaning bearish.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 5 Oct 2026, 17:29 | “$BTC - still think we could push higher here. Highs look pretty ugly imo. Would be nice to see a sweep above them, then a fast drop back down. Could view it like an AMD too https://t.co/Gv9C9ugc0w” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 27 Sept 2026, 13:10 | “$BTC two Scenarios counts I’m watching 🧪 1. GIGA bull Five waves up completed where I’ve labelled the 3. With the subsequent 1/2 in, we’re now starting wave 3 higher. Less likely imo, but also the least expected path right now, which gives it some credence for me. Invalidation: $74K. 2. Standard bullish count A completed five-wave move forms the larger-degree wave 1, followed by a correction towards roughly $70K. This is my preferred count currently. Broader bullish invalidation: the $57K lows.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 16 Sept 2026, 14:55 | “$BTC update 🧪 We’re getting the extended correction we were looking for. Price never swept the news-wick high or printed a fresh high - something I’d usually expect from an ABC up or a classic 3-wave move. Therefore didn't catch a short. My swing-long area of interest remains unchanged. I’m sidelined until price reaches it. This also fits the broader altcoin structure, which currently looks more like WXYs than standard ABCs higher.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 10 Sept 2026, 07:45 | “$BTC update 🧪 Price printed a 3-wave move from the original AOI, which justified closing the long. It was a nice area for a bounce, but the latest PA suggests this correction may need more time. I can’t confidently count it as an impulse down or a flat yet. My primary view is a double zigzag lower, with $74.4K as the main area I’d look for longs. If price bounces first, a sweep around $76.8K could offer another long setup, with $84K as the target.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Sept 2026, 16:01 | “Trade 9 - bitcoin:native Long 🟩 Price front-ran the original AOI, but put in a good low with a nice reaction. SL: 77,599 TP: 82,276 QTY: 3.3 BTC R R: 3R https://t.co/mDrqxe31pf https://t.co/g70ucfVGbW” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 8 Sept 2026, 13:45 | “$BTC approaching my long zone here. Watching for a reaction 🧪 https://t.co/duFxuIkkNY https://t.co/MErFJb0UmM” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 1 Sept 2026, 08:31 | “Right idea to adjust the stop 🧪 $BTC short running now https://t.co/0kTm2GZfRV https://t.co/8szkJqoSwK” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 31 Aug 2026, 16:20 | “adjusted stop to a small bit higher to account for eq high and npoc just above, will move to high once it breaks back below” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 28 Aug 2026, 18:30 | “$ETH getting the local pullback we expected here. 🧪 Given price took the high in a corrective manner, I’m leaning towards this being a flat. That removes the second long box and makes the first one my primary AOI. Looking for longs inside that box - or potentially a touch higher, depending on the reaction.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 26 Aug 2026, 09:00 | “$ETH 🧪 Honestly a pretty neutral bias currently for me personally. Think right now it’s very balanced for up or down so been working locally here. I do think for Bitcoin and ETH we should get a pullback of sorts from here, so yes here is a good place to short in my opinion. However I’m watching for exactly how price comes down here to decide a higher timeframe bias. Altcoins have dropped more than ETH and BTC here and it’s quite varied for a few. So for me currently locally bearish on ETH and Bitcoin, with shorts being a very viable option. Then areas for longs for ETH that’s 2290 and 2040 region.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 21 Aug 2026, 02:32 | “$BTC short stopped out . One attempt at fading a strong uptrend was enough for me 🤝 - Still expecting a local pullback soon I’ll only look for another short after a higher-timeframe break in structure. https://t.co/rqN5cioVZj https://t.co/M88MX4MvUL” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 19 Aug 2026, 08:42 | “$BTC LONG - Trade 5 🧪 Taking this one in line with the bullish count. Stop: $64,119 Target: $65,024 Size: 9.3 BTC R:R: 2.5 https://t.co/gzhdgp0mBg https://t.co/fu3KwlVg9x” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 18 Aug 2026, 00:41 | “$BTC Trade 4 stopped out 🧪 The challenge remains nicely in profit overall. Next area I’ll consider another short is around $64.8K -but only if we get a clean reaction there. https://t.co/S0SXExU7Nh https://t.co/2YaP4FQ2rl” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
