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@RaoulGMI · Founder/CEO Global Macro Investor, @RealVision. Figuring things out at the nexus of Macro, Web3 & the Exponential Age. Not a guru.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 9 more calls to rank
Scored calls
6
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
25.0%
1 correct / 3 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.88%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-5.3%
Equal stake on all 6 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.41%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (33) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 31.4% | 31 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −6.2% | 59 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.41% | 38 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 30.8% |
9 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.38 | 28 | 25% |
90 days · 4h