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@Pentosh1 · full time larp
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
31
Top 69% · #15 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
34
0 pending · 14 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
8 correct / 8 incorrect · 18 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.05%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-1.9%
Equal stake on all 34 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-1.07%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (47) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 21% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 53.4% | 61 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −40.7% | 85 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.07% | 27 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 59.3% |
48 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.09 | 30 | 25% |
All time · stated