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@Pentosh1 · full time larp
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
86
Top 14% · #3 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
20
0 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
54.5%
6 correct / 5 incorrect · 9 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.12%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+2.4%
Equal stake on all 20 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.29%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (75) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 64.9% | 84 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.9% | 78 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.29% | 78 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
16 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 also has pretty clear skies here, potentially setting up for a move to 128-140 area for the next range, possibly ending this current accumulation range its also been in the past month https://t.co/ls2Zz9oh2i”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 69.2% |
50 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.26 | 78 | 25% |
90 days · 1h
“You know whats crazy, I've only shared 3 trades on $PUMP ever. 3. Each one was the bottom before at least a 2x, this 3rd one is already +20%. Each time it was hated. I think in general if you wait long enough, good trades often come to you. It's just the patience part. I also have many other bad trades too, but just reviewing the current trades I'm in, and this has had some of the cleanest levels to participate in on reclaims/retests imo”
“Do I think this will V reverse. Probably not. It could take a couple weeks to do its process”
“Started to get some solana:pumpCmXqMfrsAkQ5r49WcJnRayYRqmXz6ae8H7H9Dfn fills and start buying back for round 2 on pump. Looking for here down into the .0036xx range if given. But good place to begin https://t.co/7mxjqAeUmL”
“Loracle has been adding to his $PONS short and closing out his other positions to try to continue to feed that. Current liq is 1.05. Obviously he can also close the position to and just take the L. team has a few million in the buyback wallet too, and momentum keeps accelerating with no break in market structure at this time. Could get interesting, it's still a ways off but something to watch. He's short from .53 and down a few m on the position currently. One big exchange listing away.”
“That's over a 2x+ on $PUMP from op + a scalp from the .028-3 area originally last week. Around .04 the ico price, I assume is going to be a trickier spot so it could get a bit more sluggish. So I'm going to close out this thread/trade entirely and look for another setup or another trade entirely. This will be something I likely trade a few times moving forward since I think the overall asset selection we have to trade leaves a lot to be desired.”
“@insainox Sol I think will be the eth of this cycle overall. It is over-owned relative to most things in the space.”
“Current alt trades updates (outside of majors) eth + sol $PUMP .001701 current .002530. 50%, coming into some resistance soon. Worth trimming. I assume once we cross the .003 range we'll start to see some heavier selling any time we approach ico price as some of those investors want to get out at break even and some unlocks will be sold there that haven't been yet. $HYPE 52.20 current 56.81. Would like to get a good position on if we see 48-52 again. Eth and Sol also never traded under entries either thus far. Although Sol Ill be out of pretty quick here. Have had nearly a 100% hit rate all year on crypto although a small sample size. mostly by doing nothing and taking a few strategic longs. For example the big prev hype rally. And staying out of the way of the big down trends.”
“only crypto changes for me is the following: bought some $sol, not a lot at 73.58 this am and $hype at an average of 52.23 If Sol passes these proposals I'll likely sell into that so its short term for me, honestly feels like it will be like eth from last cycle imo in terms of performance. HYPE I bought back some of what I had previously sold. Not all yet, just due to the uncertainty of KYC stuff. But 48-52 is a good spot, especially with aqav2 beginning this month.”
“@PointBreak36 Yes”
“Look at all those underside retests. Despite all the hootin and hollerin from these young whippersnappers, $sol is up 10% from its lowest weekly close over a month ago. $BTC is up 5-6% from its lowest weekly close, and $ETH is up 20%. There has been no reclaims, just underside retests. Not a lot of fun volatility. Just boring chop. I do think downside is quite limited, but again, this next cycle upside is too. We can only do the best with what we are given and make the most of it.”
“Wow $NBIS 30% today. This has been a very volatile ride since I originally bought at 166 lmao. We have seen it go +40% from entry last week, into a -10% loss and then up 30% today. I shaved 20% off at 194 and will look to re-buy that and lower the effective cost a bit more. Normally I would have sold a big win like that early. I'm going to consider myself a bit lucky here with the amount of vol. It was quite painful seeing those swings and just sitting there watching that PNL go all over the place. I will continue to trade around the core, bc I do think this is a great long term bet so not willing to fully exit, and bc I still really liked the entry.”
“@philxnft i bought eth in 1700's, pump 1701 lol. i just dont like the upside of crypto and think its going to be crap. its not really that incredibly attractive at all imo. sol is goign to do what a 2-3x this cycle?”
“The math is mathing for $pump As on chain activity continues to grow it should be a large beneficiary by default. Hate it or love it. It’s here to stay. And I say this as someone who has been a pump hater https://t.co/I4go3QoLNr https://t.co/KNNv2N1pPP”
“$NBIS 40% off the lows in under a week is crazy work. I almost doubled the position at 197 but decided to hold off lmao. oops but I will get that in at some point in the next week or two. The worst buy hit +13% semis just continue to provide the best opportunities in any market and the most volatility for those who like that”