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@MartiniGuyYT · Unclaimed · Rank #72 (Top 81%) · All time · 1 hour horizon How it’s ranked
Live Bitcoin & Crypto Trading YouTuber (150K+ SUBS) • Analysis • News • Alpha
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 11 Nov 2026
Calls
116
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
40.5%
47 correct / 69 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.1%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
1
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
190d
5 May 2026 – 11 Nov 2026
Best call
+1.2%“Bitcoin pushed into $63,700 and got rejected almost immediately. I’m still struggling to find a reason why this market should suddenly turn around here. Last week was one of the worst weeks since FTX. This week isn’t looking much better. The $57,700 region still stands out as a likely target, and below that there are CME gaps sitting around $52,000 and $48,000. For now, the pressure still looks lower, not higher. 👀”
Worst call
-2.1%“The “perfect” jobs report is probably a little weaker than expected, but not weak enough to scare the market. A soft landing is exactly what risk assets want right now. If we get that today, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bitcoin benefit from falling yields and a weaker dollar.”
Every token @MartiniGuyYT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 10 Nov 2026 · 131 calls since 5 May 2026
43 bullish · 88 bearish
Last called 7 Nov 2026 · 9 calls since 9 May 2026
6 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 26 Oct 2026 · 11 calls since 6 May 2026
3 bullish · 8 bearish
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
471 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun 2026, 12:06 | “Funding rates are starting to normalise. That usually means one thing: Traders are becoming increasingly confident on the long side. In the short term, that's supportive of price. But here's what I can't ignore... Bitcoin still hasn't broken higher. Funding is improving. Sentiment is improving. More traders are entering long positions. Yet price continues to struggle at resistance. To me, that suggests someone is happy to keep selling into this strength. The longer price fails to break out, the more interested I become in the other side of the trade. Are the bears running out of supply? Or are the longs getting a little too confident before the US session opens?” |
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All time · 1h
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 1h |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 22 Jun 2026, 10:35 | “BITCOIN AGGREGATED OPEN INTEREST Something still doesn't add up here. Open interest has been stuck around the same level for days, yet Bitcoin is trading near the top of its recent range. To me, that suggests price is running ahead of liquidity. If liquidity was driving this market, I'd expect Bitcoin to be trading closer to $60,000-$62,000, not $64,000+. The problem is that markets don't care about fair value in the short term. They can stay overvalued for far longer than most traders expect. Right now, this feels more like whale games than genuine conviction. Low liquidity. Low volume. Price being pushed around inside a range. Longer term, I still favour the bearish setup. But until liquidity returns and the market picks a direction, I wouldn't rule out another push higher first.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 22 Jun 2026, 08:10 | “Around 20,000 Bitcoin was withdrawn from exchanges on Sunday, a pretty decent amount for the first time in a while. But what I think is particularly interesting is that USDT exchange balances stayed broadly the same. It suggests this Bitcoin removal hasn't been matched by new stablecoin liquidity. If Bitcoin is leaving exchanges without any real price impact, it is actually reducing market stability. When liquidity gets removed like this, it's normally a sign that we are about to see a big move on the Bitcoin historical volatility index. Looking at that index right now, the setup is almost a one-for-one identical replica of what happened just before we broke down last time. Remember, in that previous range, we made several attempts to break upwards before we eventually broke down aggressively. This is where the patience part comes in.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 22 Jun 2026, 07:44 | “Spot Bitcoin volume is rising slower than futures, which means futures dominance is taking over the market again. Right now, spot volume sits at just 7.18%. It is nowhere near the 10% I like to see for a healthy market. When it is this low, it tells me there is zero real, long-term demand. Fake demand relies on futures loans, whilst real demand buys the actual asset on spot. Looking at the maker volume data, people are buying, but they are buying directly from a massive player. To me, it looks like someone has been aggressively building up heavy short positions at these exact levels. We are building a giant pile of liquidity here. When this range finally breaks, I believe it will be to the downside, and it will be an explosive move. My bigger concern for this week is that we get an incredibly annoying, straight-line wick in both directions just to wipe everyone out. If that happens, everybody loses. If you look at the price vs volume history chart below, we had a very irregular volume candle on Sunday. The bulk of that volume came in right above where the price currently sits, which points towards a bunch of positions being completely trapped. These long straight lines upwards are just designed to make you panic and close your trade. In my opinion, these big spiky candles are actually super bearish because they just create loss for personal gain. That is exactly how I am reading this.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $64,174 | 1h | $64,184 | +0.0% | incorrect |
| 22 Jun 2026, 05:39 | “Bitcoin funding rates are starting to shift. That's what stands out to me. We've been grinding higher on long pressure this morning, but the green funding across the board is starting to turn. New short positions are actively getting charged. Don't let these random spikes fool you into thinking the market is incredibly bullish. It's an illusion. The market is just exploiting low volume and thin liquidity to squeeze people out before the US open. When volume is this low, spikes don't last, it usually leads to a slow grind down. The interesting part is that we still haven't completed a full liquidity sweep. Bitcoin didn't hit $65k yet, which means we might just get chopped up inside this range a bit longer before the real move happens. That doesn't automatically mean we dump immediately. But a market trading on low volume like this is purely designed to make you panic and force you out of your positions right at a peak level of liquidity. I still think $64.5k is the key level. That's the underside of the 4-hour pennant. If the market continues to squeeze shorts up toward that line, that's the exact area where risk needs to be managed before the massive liquidity bomb triggers.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $64,176 | 1h | $63,982 | -0.3% | correct |
| 21 Jun 2026, 16:15 | “Bitcoin keeps dropping harder than open interest. That's the part that stands out. Earlier today, longs took profit and open interest fell. After that, price kept drifting lower, but open interest stopped falling and started holding steady. That tells me shorts are stepping in. Then we got a small bounce. Price pushed up, longs started chasing again, and open interest ticked higher. A few hours later, price rolled over while liquidity barely moved. That's usually not what you see when a market is preparing for a larger move higher. Right now I still see a rising wedge, a bear flag, and a rejection from local resistance. As long as Bitcoin stays below $64.6k, I'm struggling to find a reason to get excited about upside. The level I'm watching is $63.9k. Lose that, and I think things start moving a lot faster.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 21 Jun 2026, 14:50 | “🚨 JD Vance says "remarkable progress" has been made in recent days to preserve the Lebanon ceasefire. This is exactly the type of headline that catches my attention. For months, markets have been forced to price in geopolitical uncertainty. Now we're starting to see signs that one of those major risks could be cooling off. If tensions continue easing, that's another reason for capital to move further out the risk curve. Good for stocks. Good for crypto. Good for Bitcoin. People underestimate how quickly sentiment can change when the headlines stop getting worse.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 21 Jun 2026, 13:25 | “Bitcoin volatility is starting to look very similar to the last major breakdown setup. Not identical. But similar enough that I'm paying attention. The interesting part is that the last time volatility compressed like this, we actually got a small move higher before the real move lower started. That's why I'm not ruling out a push higher first. But if that happens, it doesn't automatically make the bearish thesis wrong. A lot of traders confuse being early with being wrong. Looking at exchange balances, around 3,000 BTC left exchanges over the past 24 hours while roughly $100M of USDT moved onto exchanges. On paper that sounds bullish. The problem is it doesn't look like aggressive accumulation. It looks like people are dollar-cost averaging. And DCA buying doesn't stop markets from falling. To stop a larger move lower, you need conviction. You need real spot demand. You need a genuine shift in sentiment. Right now I don't see that. The market still feels heavy. And until that changes, I'd be surprised if Bitcoin suddenly starts ripping higher from here.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 21 Jun 2026, 12:58 | “Bitcoin keeps pushing higher. The problem is that the volume still isn't convincing me. Spot volume dropped 11.75% over the last 24 hours. Futures volume only dropped 6.48%. That's not what you want to see if you're looking for a sustainable move higher. If real buyers were stepping in here, spot volume should be leading. Instead, derivatives are still doing most of the heavy lifting. When I look at the volume profile, I don't see aggressive spot demand chasing price. I see traders continuing to trade the move while conviction remains pretty limited. That's why I'm struggling to trust this rally. Could we still squeeze higher? Of course. Bitcoin has a habit of punishing people who get positioned too early. But if spot continues to fade while derivatives keep driving price, I think this move becomes increasingly vulnerable. The market keeps moving higher. The participation behind it isn't.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $64,108 | 1h | $64,069 | -0.1% | correct |
| 21 Jun 2026, 12:35 | “Bitcoin funding rates are starting to shift. That's what stands out to me. We've spent the entire weekend grinding higher on thin liquidity, but traders are no longer chasing the move the way they were a few days ago. Earlier today, only a handful of exchanges were showing negative funding. Now a much larger portion of the market has flipped negative, which tells me traders are getting increasingly comfortable shorting this range. The interesting part is that price hasn't really moved lower yet. Bitcoin is still sitting around $64.2k while positioning becomes more crowded on the short side. That doesn't automatically mean we go higher. But if too many traders lean into the same trade too quickly, the market usually finds a way to punish them first. I still think $64.4k is the key level. If shorts continue to build up here, a quick squeeze toward $65k wouldn't surprise me before the market decides on its next real move.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,937 | 1h | $63,969 | +0.1% | correct |
| 21 Jun 2026, 10:56 | “🇺🇸🇮🇷 US-Iran talks begin today in Switzerland. A permanent peace agreement would remove one of the biggest macro risks facing markets right now. BULLISH for Bitcoin and crypto. 🚀 https://t.co/upKxAVsGFf” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 21 Jun 2026, 03:41 | “Bitcoin is trading around $64.3k after reclaiming the $63.5k support zone. That's the part most people are missing. A few days ago everyone was convinced the breakdown was real. Support gave way. Sentiment flipped. People started calling for much lower prices. Instead, Bitcoin put in a higher low around $62.4k and reclaimed the level almost immediately. Since then it's done exactly what you'd want to see. Higher low. Support reclaimed. Price slowly grinding higher. The previous range high around $67.2k is still the key level on my chart. As long as $63.5k holds, I struggle to get overly bearish here. The market already had every excuse to break lower. So far, it hasn't. That's worth paying attention to.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 20 Jun 2026, 12:21 | “The market keeps giving people reasons to panic. Yet capital refuses to leave. Bitcoin is holding up. Stablecoin balances remain elevated. And every dip is still attracting attention. The longer that continues, the harder it becomes to argue that this is the start of a major unwind. That's what I'm watching.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 20 Jun 2026, 09:55 | “Bitcoin has reclaimed the $63,500 level. That's the level I've been watching for the past few days. Price broke below it, trapped a lot of people into thinking the move lower had started, and then pushed straight back above. That isn't what weakness looks like. The previous range high around $67,200 is still the major level overhead. Until Bitcoin gets there, I don't think there's much to get excited about on the downside. The market has already spent the last few days trying to break lower. So far, it hasn't managed it. As long as Bitcoin holds above $63,500, I think the path of least resistance remains higher. The next real test is whether price can make a move back towards the range highs.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $63,667 | 1h | $63,610 | -0.1% | incorrect |
| 20 Jun 2026, 08:42 | “Bitcoin is moving higher, but the volume is telling a very different story. Spot volume is down over 37%. Futures volume is down over 35%. Yet price keeps grinding higher. That is not the kind of move that usually has strong conviction behind it. When I look at the chart, all I see is a market bubbling higher on weak participation. Could it go higher? Absolutely. In fact, I still think there is a decent chance we see $64.5k before this move is finished. But if we get there, I think it becomes a much more interesting area to start looking for downside. The whole move since the stock market closed on Friday has happened on very little real volume. For now, it just looks like more liquidations being created before the market eventually decides where it actually wants to go.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,390 | 1h | $63,638 | +0.4% | incorrect |
