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@KookCapitalLLC · @TheKookLetter
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 2 more calls to rank
Scored calls
13
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
2 correct / 4 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.14%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-1.8%
Equal stake on all 13 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
-0.08%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (32) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 23% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.2% | 31 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.7% | 13 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.08% | 13 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 4h
2 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“mara ceo fred thiel told everyone they were going full hodl the wallets disagree..... 1,000 $BTC sent to binance and gate in the last 5 days, about $82.8m and this isnt new they dumped 15,133 $BTC in march for $1.1b and 23,093 across h1 for $1.6b some of it pays down debt and funds the ai buildout, fair but full hodl doesnt mean wiring $82.8m to an exchange $BTC doesnt get a real bid until mara stops selling”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 85.7% |
88 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.06 | 31 | 25% |
“justin sun says he sold 80-90% of his $ETH at $3.6k to $4k ct is calling him a genius now go look at his wallet..... $567m of staked $ETH still sitting in lido and yesterday $28m of $PEPE landed in the same wallet from a poloniex multisig first time he touched $PEPE in over two years to be fair he did say he kept a core bag but a half billion dollar core bag is not a guy whos done with $ETH hes talking it down in interviews while sitting on top of it 😂 $ETH reclaims $3k before sun sells another coin”