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@KookCapitalLLC · @TheKookLetter
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
25
Top 75% · #17 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
132
0 pending · 61 unresolved
Hit rate
45.5%
55 correct / 66 incorrect · 11 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.07%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-9.4%
Equal stake on all 132 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.07%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (37) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 9% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 45.1% | 15 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −92.1% | 3 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.07% | 52 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
367 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“on saylor, $strc and $mstr he cant be forced out and he cant be liquidated if we need to see saylor sacrificed for $btc to move up then we have years of pain ahead of us even at this btc price strategy has over $50 billion in assets and only $8 billion in debt / pref obligations this said, i do believe saylor has to go for btc to move to aths but if that is what has to happen, we are not close to a resolution at all there is a lot more pain to come btc will have to go to ~$10k saylor will need to be put in a position where he is forced to actively sell btc to pay dividends and btc would also need to be dropping so fast he is running out of time and most importantly he would need to be locked out of capital markets completely i.e. he would need to be unable to raise any money anymore through any type of instrument he would have to give up and unwind it all but only he can do that, there is no scenario of him getting 'liquidated' but yeah i do actually think all of the above has to happen strap in for a long ride, it seems the universe is demanding the sacrifice of saylor's ponzi schemes before bitcoin can move up again bitcoin will come back stronger than ever one day but it must be without michael saylor - kook”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 85.7% |
67 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.02 | 42 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“$ibm just unveiled the first sub-1nm chip tech it uses a 0.7nm 'nanostack' 3d transistor design remember who called it first and told you it was a 10+ year hold ibm will win quantum trump is backing them, the usa will not lose quantum to china the tech advancements out of ibm will only get more insane you need the right sources of research to prepare for the greatest bull run of all time and you need to be a part of the best community 🔗 https://t.co/WrK5Z3Me5a”
“hyperliquid portfolio margin is now in beta > volume will go up > liquidations will go up > more sophisticated users will be attracted hyperliquid is quickly becoming a real competitor to major tradfi trading venues and brokerages once its legal in america it will flip $hood $coin $ibkr $cme $hype is going to $200+ allocate accordingly and make sure to join the best community in crypto before the next bull run the last cycle ever is coming 🔗 https://t.co/WrK5Z3Me5a”
“$vvv was always just a $hype cope play https://t.co/CWyN5DEIM2”
“well the market looks horrible all i have been doing for a while now is dcaing btc made a trade on hype today and also bought some strc (saylor ponzi) hard times coming but good times to follow try not to overextend and try to always have some liquidity buy high quality assets only be prepared to ride this out a long time all time highs are coming but they will make 99.9% of people give up first be strong”
“saylor finally sucked me into his $strc ponzi bought a decent bag here i think he re-pegs it eventually and im happy to collect ~15% effective dividend yield while i wait very degen nfa https://t.co/my16Mi5hQC”
“its going to be a long summer for crypto enthusiasts feels like 95% of ct is gone sentiment at all-time lows bitcoin is 'dead' again and 'this time is different' its only june so this will continue on for a long time imo if you compare to the 2022-2023 bear market $btc bottomed at ~$14k in summer 2023 and by fall it had done a 2.5x without anyone really noticing thats because, just like now, everyone was gone and had moved on its the same now, everyone gone everyone expects btc to moon in q4 but im not so sure we need many sideways months and everyone needs to get pushed out due to boredom unlike 2023, now stocks are at all-time highs there are dozens of new technologies to invest in outside of crypto that sucks up all the money and attention and leaves none for bitcoin everything will come back harder than before and btc is definitely going to new ath but i think it will be a while in the meantime we are printing on stocks and accumulating $btc and $hype the best course of action here imo is just dca btc and hype yes its boring but you will definitely win over the long (medium) term patience and discipline above all else its also a good idea to join a top-tier community so you can maximize the next bull run when it comes there is nothing better than @TheKookLetter find someone you know who has joined and ask them youll see https://t.co/WrK5Z3Me5a”
“micron earnings tonight imo the memorty trade is intact despite the recent unwind there is infinite demand for intelligence thus there is infinite demand for memory $mu going up from here https://t.co/DaF6xWNmrZ”
“sentiment bottom is close !! but we still need at least several monthly sideways candles on $btc they will get us with time capitulation fear is past us now their weapon is boredom dont give up”
“wow entire market nuking this does not look great they are trying to tell you the trenches are back, imo dont fall for it these prices on $btc and $hype are what you want to focus on of course its all coming back stronger, but only the winning coins not some lowcap meme rugs lmao btc and hype !!”
“@MoEthWhale @MidnightTrades_ @internSPC69x at this rate $spcx69 might flip $spcx”
“every time i post that i bought more $btc i get a bunch of comments calling me stupid 'its going to $40k buy there' everyone is always calling for lower and usually when the price gets there, they dont buy, and call for even lower the reality is that btc is -60% off the high and any dca in this range is a buy you will look back on and be happy with when btc is $250k does it really matter if you bought at $62k, $57k, or $50k????? it wont, this entire range is a generational entry no one will pick the bottom, and the guys trying dont even buy anyways dca btc over the long term win forever”
“for the first time in a while...... $sol looks good https://t.co/iHg2IIGndt”
“@NotSoEasyMoney bro dont get rid of your bitcoin !!!”
“wow btc dip was classic hope u didnt sell the bottom over half the supply underwater rn every major cycle low prints this exact capitulation signal macro still intact tho liquidity waves debt math real assets these dips are for reloading not capitulating weak hands flush strong hands step in hype held strong like it always does real conviction names dont care about the noise if u got the signal u eat these moves kookletter gives u the map plus the actual names that compound stop selling bottoms start positioning 🔗 https://t.co/WrK5Z3Me5a 🫡 $btc $hype”