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@KookCapitalLLC · @TheKookLetter
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 8 more calls to rank
Scored calls
7
6 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
0.0%
0 correct / 5 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg return / call
-2.34%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-16.4%
Equal stake on all 7 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-2.24%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (9) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 29% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 0.0% | 8 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.4% | 19 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -2.24% | 12 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
29 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“mara ceo fred thiel told everyone they were going full hodl the wallets disagree..... 1,000 $BTC sent to binance and gate in the last 5 days, about $82.8m and this isnt new they dumped 15,133 $BTC in march for $1.1b and 23,093 across h1 for $1.6b some of it pays down debt and funds the ai buildout, fair but full hodl doesnt mean wiring $82.8m to an exchange $BTC doesnt get a real bid until mara stops selling”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 40.0% |
0 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.54 | 8 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“ansem on oct 12: $90k by end of the week ansem on oct 18: got smoked, cut longs, derisking more before open..... 728k people saw the call 240k saw the walk back he still thinks a bounce comes first but you dont get to call $90k and dump longs in the same week $BTC is $82.8k $85k comes before he tweets $90k again”
“half of ct is waiting for $72k to buy like a madman thats exactly why it never comes 🤣🤣 bitcoin:native sees $90k first”
“ansem says $HYPE and $ZEC move on their own now, not off bitcoin:native and ethereum:native and ct is still asking if alts are dead?? since last october bitcoin:native is down 24% $HYPE is up 114% $ZEC is up 410% thats not beta, thats money picking winners neither is a free ride, $ZEC is down 23% this month and $HYPE 13% $HYPE clears its $98 high before bitcoin:native sees $100k again”
“everyone is scared of quantum again 9 crypto firms just said 6.04m bitcoin:native is "exposed"..... thats $493b of coins supposedly waiting for the first quantum computer now read who signed it > quantus sells a quantum resistant chain > keystone sells hardware wallets > hacken sells security audits the people warning you are the same people selling the fix will it matter one day?? probably, postquant labs is calling 2028 but no machine on earth can crack a single key today arthur hayes nailed it, the real risk is people reusing addresses bitcoin:native is sitting at $81.7k $85k comes way before any quantum computer does”
“bitcoin:native will hit $300k before 2029 book it https://t.co/x8ogTxkLZz”
“everyone is bearish bitcoin:native this weekend justin sun says AI and quantum are the risk nobody is pricing mike mcglone is calling $10k again nasdaq just had its worst week since april 2025, down 5.5%..... $BTC is down 1.7% on the week still sitting at $81.5k while tech got smoked $90k is next”
“@cozypront nice share crazy bullish”
“@HunterKillerHQ bullish”
“remember the $187m max leverage whale from yesterday he closed longs last night for a $2.35m loss then bought 722 bitcoin:native right back within the hour..... > $122.5m in longs > $3.67m account left > $BTC liquidation $80,278 down $8.66m this week $BTC is $1,300 away from wiping him out hyperliquid is getting the rest of this account 🤣🤣”
“a hyperliquid whale just put $187m on max leverage longs with a $6.1m account..... 1,822 bitcoin:native at 40x, liquidation $80,640 15,270 ethereum:native at 25x, liquidation $2,406 bitcoin:native is $1,600 away from wiping him out already down $7.3m this week and he sized up anyway 😂 one red candle and this account is gone”
“bitcoin:native wicked under $80k and still liquidated $53m in shorts on the bounce..... this thing will send hard soon https://t.co/GsqTCDL98q”
“bottom is in on bitcoin:native $92k is next https://t.co/CmL1FplaSM”
“another overnight flush and bitcoin:native only gave up 3% still holding $81k..... sellers are running out of ammo, 90k comes faster than anyone thinks https://t.co/RgELUmxsPJ”
“everyone screaming hot cpi meant dollar to the moon dxy spiked from 102.20 to 102.93 on the print and gave back more than half by the close..... the 2y went up 20bps then gave most of it back the bond market bought the dip while the timeline sold the bottom 🤣🤣 gas did half the work on the headline number bitcoin:native never broke and the dollar couldnt hold the high i know which one im betting on”