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@KillaXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #32 (Top 36%) · All time · 4 hours horizon How it’s ranked
Quantitative trader, 7 years.
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 11 Nov 2026
Calls
183
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
51.4%
94 correct / 89 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.0%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
2
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
190d
5 May 2026 – 11 Nov 2026
Best call
+5.7%“I have a small spot $SOL allocation. I’m not particularly bullish on it long term, but I think there’s a good chance we see something like this play out once $BTC starts trending higher again. Personally, I’m targeting a 75–100% move here, nothing too crazy. Patience. https://t.co/OCxR2COmtg https://t.co/uCmZZPe7fq”
Worst call
-3.5%“$BTC We are -3% after my 5th Pivot. Standard Procedure.✅ https://t.co/vMZEg8bhcI https://t.co/Qmq55Sctqc”
Every token @KillaXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 245 calls since 5 May 2026
161 bullish · 84 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 7 Jun 2026
5 bullish · 2 bearish
Last called 17 Oct 2026
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
705 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026, 11:44 | “For the past 9 months, $BTC has dumped into the monthly open 5 times. Today marks another monthly open. Each time we've seen BTC dump into the start of a new month, the market has eventually moved in the opposite direction, catching the majority off guard. If that pattern repeats, we could see a push higher the start of this month.” |
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All time · 4h
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| $58,602 |
| 4h |
| $60,165 |
| +2.7% |
| correct |
| 30 Jun 2026, 20:35 | “Get ready for volatility as the next 3 month candle opens. This is the quarter $BTC forms a macro bottom in.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Jun 2026, 17:28 | “The 6 month candle closes in just a few hours. Over the past 2 cycles, $BTC has never printed more than 2 consecutive red 6 month candles. Another interesting observation: in both previous occurrences, Bitcoin never revisited the low of the second red 6-month candle. Either way, I would bet on the next 6 month candle being green.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $58,295 | 4h | $58,494 | +0.3% | correct |
| 30 Jun 2026, 14:53 | “$148,500-$162,000. $BTC will never reach $30,000. Highest probable range is between $40,000-$58,000.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Jun 2026, 13:44 | “$BTC By absolutely no surprise, for the 8th Monday in a row, Monday has once again formed the pivot high, with price dropping an average of 4–5% afterwards. I have been posting about this pattern for 8 months FYI. https://t.co/d3blhRcGr3 https://t.co/v54bxLENJL” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Jun 2026, 11:47 | “Bitcoin will eventually break the diminishing cycles pattern. I ran the numbers on both the diminishing returns above each previous ATH and the progressively shallower bear market retracements since $BTC's first cycle. Following that trajectory forever simply doesn't make sense. If the pattern continued indefinitely, Bitcoin would eventually become an asset that barely moves, despite increasing global demand, ongoing monetary expansion + limited supply. At some point, the model has to break. My view is that the break comes through significantly higher bear market lows than historical mathematics would suggest. Once that happens, the entire diminishing returns model begins to fail as well, leading to stronger upside than the trend currently projects. Purely mathematically, the model would imply something like this... This cycle: 38K bottom Next cycle: 46K bottom Then: 55K bottom Then: 65K bottom That trajectory doesn't make much sense. It would also imply progressively smaller upside after each cycle, eventually leaving BTC with very little volatility. I think reality looks different. Instead of repeating the shallower bear market retracements forever, we could transition into 60% corrections, then 40-50%, with faster recoveries and stronger returns than the diminishing models imply. If that happens, timing cycle bottoms will become increasingly difficult, because the market will eventually stop respecting the historical diminishing factors that everyone expects. Hence why I believe it's always a good time to buy after a significant macro retrace, rather than trying to perfectly time the bottom. Many will get f*cked & miss the lows in doing so.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 30 Jun 2026, 10:25 | “Study this... ATH to ATH. It took 1,190 days for $BTC to print a new ATH in the first cycle. It took 1,085 days in the second cycle. It took 854 days in the third cycle. Using the same historical timing, we're looking at a minimum of a new ATH in Jan 2028, with a strong possibility it happens even earlier if the diminishing cycle effect continues. (Late 2027 Q4). That means a move from the current price of $59.2K back to $126K would be a gain of over 110% in roughly 1.5 years. No other market will outperform that increase.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 29 Jun 2026, 21:35 | “I'm sorry, but this level of confidence is actually insane. I'm not saying $BTC can't see $50K, but when 76% of people are convinced it's going to happen, that's exactly why we could see a much more prolonged period of chop first. The market loves to punish consensus, and to be honest, I now see more shorts exposed than longs. If we lose $54K, $48K is likely next... (IBIT ETF Approval wick high) If we can hold the PWL, I'd like to see some relief. We've already liquidated the majority of longs, and to be honest, I now see more shorts becoming exposed than longs. Just my current thoughts on the LTF. Bear markets can be ruthless so acceptance is key.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 29 Jun 2026, 20:20 | “They will call you lucky in 2-3 years but have no clue what you had to endure. Just wait for when $BTC is trading above 150K.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 29 Jun 2026, 14:56 | “When you truly understand cycles, you realize most of this news is straight bullshit. Mfs always react after the move, never before it. Then they grab whatever headline pops up to justify what already happened. The news ain’t moving the market. The market moves first, then mfs create a narrative to make sense of it. Let me keep it real… we’re going down because we’re simply in that part of the cycle where $BTC corrects. That’s it. Not because of $MSTR, not because of $STRC. News is sugar-coated copium people use because they are clueless. Stop with this herd mentality nonsense.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $59,352 | 4h | $60,198 | +1.4% | incorrect |
| 29 Jun 2026, 12:12 | “All you have to do, is buy $BTC spot. We have been below the 50w moving average for 200 days. We are close fella's. We are close. https://t.co/bUNBGcVCbp” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $60,584 | 4h | $59,617 | -1.6% | incorrect |
| 28 Jun 2026, 19:06 | “Literally 95% of short term holders are sitting in a loss. The sentiment is dead. The market is dead. The Volume is dead. Majority are sitting in losses. Do not let anyone tell you otherwise. Hold the line $BTC https://t.co/wWm4OOoM17” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 28 Jun 2026, 16:20 | “Looks like $BTC has flushed out a lot of low leverage longs, while low leverage short liquidations are now appearing between $63K–$67K. Wouldn't be surprised to see BTC run those highs next. The market's main objective is simple... hunt liquidity. https://t.co/lMyFQgyY7L” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 28 Jun 2026, 14:19 | “bitcoin:native 2026 Bottom vs. 2022 Bottom We’re either still in the pre-capitulation phase, meaning we see one final capitulation wick into the 54K–44K zone. On the other hand, if we're already in the capitulation phase, then the 54K–44K bids could play out similarly to the 10K–12K bids in 2022 that never got filled. Either way, the downside from here is limited. We're either looking at another 10–15% to the bottom, which, in my view, is insignificant in the bigger picture, or we're already within 5% of the bottom.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 27 Jun 2026, 19:49 | “Dumb bulls will always outperform smart bears. The oldest lesson in markets, and one that’s held true for decades. Inflation isn’t going away. Money printing isn’t stopping. The cost of living will keep climbing. Your cash will continue losing purchasing power every single year. This is the game. It’s been the game for centuries. Smart people don’t sit in depreciating currency. They park their wealth in scarce assets. Gold, silver, real estate, watches, antiques, legacy markets. $BTC is still an infant asset. Whether you believe in the fundamentals or not is almost irrelevant. Scarce assets with fixed supply are naturally repriced higher in a world where fiat expands forever. The real Ponzi is the constant debasement of fiat currency. Bitcoin doesn’t need to solve every problem tomorrow. What matters is that it has consistently outpaced inflation and I expect it to continue outperforming. So once again: dumb bulls will always make more money than smart bears in a market that is rigged to go up.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $60,117 | 4h | $59,971 | -0.2% | incorrect |
