Loading…
@Excellion · Working on nation-state #Bitcoin adoption. CEO @JAN3com, building @AquaBitcoin, CEO @Pixelmatic & creator of @InfiniteFleet. Might be in HBO's #MoneyElectric.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 6 more calls to rank
Scored calls
9
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
60.0%
3 correct / 2 incorrect · 4 neutral
Avg return / call
+1.82%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+16.4%
Equal stake on all 9 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+1.40%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (67) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 53.3% | 56 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −4.5% | 75 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.40% | 81 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
2 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Remember the Wheel of Shitcoin Samsara. Everything flows to Bitcoin in the end.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 53.8% |
42 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.23 | 72 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“@Dannyseabird It was foretold.”