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@Excellion · Working on nation-state #Bitcoin adoption. CEO @JAN3com, building @AquaBitcoin, CEO @Pixelmatic & creator of @InfiniteFleet. Might be in HBO's #MoneyElectric.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 9 more calls to rank
Scored calls
6
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
1 correct / 2 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
-0.44%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
-2.7%
Equal stake on all 6 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.67%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (53) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 17% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 21.2% | 28 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −7.9% | 83 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.67% | 62 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
1 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@MDBitcoin How can anyone not be bullish on Bitcoin?”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 60.0% |
33 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.10 | 59 | 25% |
30 days · 7d