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@Excellion · Working on nation-state #Bitcoin adoption. CEO @JAN3com, building @AquaBitcoin, CEO @Pixelmatic & creator of @InfiniteFleet. Might be in HBO's #MoneyElectric.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
98
Top 2% · #1 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
26
0 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
58.3%
7 correct / 5 incorrect · 14 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.53%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+13.7%
Equal stake on all 26 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.58%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (78) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 8% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 62.9% | 91 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −5.9% | 94 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.58% | 67 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 59.3% |
48 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.27 | 88 | 25% |
All time · 24h