Loading…
@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
95
Top 5% · #1 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
57
12 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
60.7%
17 correct / 11 incorrect · 29 neutral
Avg return / call
+3.47%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+197.9%
Equal stake on all 57 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+2.06%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (88) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.5% | 83 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −39.0% | 83 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.06% | 86 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
65 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“There's also still a potential bullish divergence on $ETH. However, it needs to break resistances in order to be actually approved. At this point, it's in the middle of nothing and we could have both ends. On the higher timeframe, regardless, things are looking at lot brighter and these dips are generally for buying.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
90 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 97 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“This is not a bad chart, at all. Perhaps there will be a lot of doom coming in tomorrow on the markets (which if that's the expectation, most likely it won't). However, looking at higher timeframes for #Bitcoin, it has swept the lows and is starting to show a lot stronger. I think that we're more likely to break upwards than downwards.”
“The price action of #Bitcoin is getting more narrow. That means; volatility goes down, range gets tight. Big move is on the horizon, but in order to get that, we might see a fake move first. That fake move could be towards my 'blue box' which is at <$80,000. Touched it once, wouldn't be surprised if we touch this twice as that would be an ideal area for entries. If Bitcoin breaks above the crucial resistance of $82,000, that's where we'll start to see acceleration and most likely a rally towards $90,000.”
“If this projection is true, and we're going to see the big 'https://t.co/rFbY3kvwqF' type of run on #Bitcoin and crypto. The outcome would be that the next big crash is going to be an 80% correction on the markets. That would mean that #Bitcoin to $1,000,000 is possible within this cycle. Beautiful times.”
“The longest accumulation periods of them all has been for $ETH. It's taking more than five years to be making a new all-time high. One big accumulation. Yet, the growth of the ecosystem is getting much bigger due to institutional adoption, through which the impact of $ETH shutting down or having a shock are going up massively. By all means, we're all undervaluing the upside of $ETH in this cycle. If it breaks the accumulation range, we could be looking at $15,000, $20,000 or even $25,000 per $ETH.”
“This is the best gameplan to have. Instead of micromanaging your trades and your positions constantly. Just zoom out. Even #Bitcoin has a 5-8x to come in this cycle, maybe even more, who knows how heavy this cycle will be? Does it matter if you sell here to try to make it on a 10% correction that has a <50% chance of occuring? I don't see the actual upside in that. Just accumulate positions, build a portfolio and wait.”
“@KobeissiLetter It erased the gains of four weeks, and everyone is screaming that the world is ending. Yet, #Bitcoin is above $80,000. There's literally nothing to worry at all in the markets. Just buy the dip.”
“This chart represents a few important factors to take into consideration. First of all; - #Bitcoin is currently extremely undervalued. Second; - The previous bull cycle hasn't been giving any upwards momentum comparable to the previous parabolic moves. However, a lot of people are still expecting this cycle to play out like the last under the false premise of the 'diminishing returns' phenomenon. I don't think that this will play out. A lot of people will be surprised.”
“The bullish cross is about to happen on #Bitcoin. The last few times this has happened: - 2013 - 2016 - 2019 - 2023 Again, it's happening. Every time that this takes place, it's the start of the next big impulse move on Bitcoin and therefore a new bull market. https://t.co/oDGUQiIngt”
“I've stated this before, but #Bitcoin needs to hold above this weekly block and everything is fine. As we've seen a relatively strong bounce upwards on the markets, I don't think we're going to see a lot more downwards momentum. Much rather, I'm looking back upwards. https://t.co/ev05ZUvRzQ”
“The most obvious spot is a long <$80,000 for #Bitcoin. Phenomenal bounce since that moment. https://t.co/yUjM6SDcDf https://t.co/oM7jpjJqfI”
“Above this block, everything is fine for #Bitcoin. Even a sweep at $74,800 would be okay, but obviously, much rather you don't want to see that occur. As price is still trading above, I'm remaining bullish. https://t.co/4q6E6DUR0E”
“This cycle will surprise so many in the markets. The talk of the town decides for a lot of investors what they'll be doing and it fuels their emotions. One of the core ones: diminishing returns of #Bitcoin. This cycle must provide diminishing returns. I think it's completely foolish to go for that, especially now that we're facing the big adoption curve when it comes to #crypto that we're likely not going to see again in the coming 10 years. I much rather think that the ones believing the diminishing returns will come will have the same result as buying the bottom of the 4-year cycle in October: they'll be left behind.”
“Earlier this week we've seen a relatively heavy correction on the #Crypto markets as risk was unwinding from investors holding KOSPI. Now, markets are crashing again in Korea, and therefore, #Bitcoin and #Altcoins are dropping again. Doesn't have much to do with crypto itself, has everything to do with the risk that investors have while holding KOSPI.”
“Interesting spot for #Bitcoin here, now that it's taking out the liquidity beneath the lows as it falls alongside $KOSPI. Ideally, around these ares is where you'd want to become interested into longs. https://t.co/646fLaVyAF”