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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 5 more calls to rank
Scored calls
10
10 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
1 correct / 2 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.05%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-0.5%
Equal stake on all 10 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
+0.23%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (54) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 22.0% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −7.0% | 89 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.23% | 22 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · stated
7 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#Bitcoin isn't that bearish. It's also not very bullish, yet. It just needs to take out the high and then we'll start to accelerate. Most likely if US Open is green, we'll start to see outperformance here as we've just witnessed a classic correction on Sunday. To me, higher timeframe based, everything looks like it's a normal correction before the next impulse move upwards to $90,000.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.04 | 56 | 25% |
“I've mentioned this before: The $84,000 level is a crucial one to break for #Bitcoin. It didn't. We continue to consolidate. That's why I think that $82,000 is a level which must-hold. The reason for that is that I think that once it loses that level, we'll start to grab liquidity way lower and we'll accelerate deeper. What's on the cards then? Potentially $79K, or even $77K would be possible. A longer period of consolidation then.”
“One of the strongest markets ever. That's why I remain big time long on my #Altcoins as the upwards run as literally just started. My core positions: - $EIGEN - $TAO - $SEi - $W - $ONDO - $PLUME - near:native And some more. Ready to be going back into profits.”
“A pretty solid bounce from the markets as we're seeing a green day after a harsh correction. These corrections happen 1-2 times in a month, and then the markets simply continue to roll upwards. Just buy the dip on #Bitcoin. https://t.co/U1xuliqSsp”
“Unfortunately, $ETH couldn't break upwards, but the flipside of that is that we're getting into a phenomenal entry point here in this correction. https://t.co/SpXuyXOS0a”
“We're almost at the end of the correction for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/sAacnsE4J5”
“#Bitcoin looks to be that we're going to be seeing a larger form of correction. That means, we'll probably take the long side liquidity and reverse after that. Phenomenal entry opportunity. https://t.co/WezHPIOHxg”