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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
95
Top 5% · #1 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
57
12 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
60.7%
17 correct / 11 incorrect · 29 neutral
Avg return / call
+3.47%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+197.9%
Equal stake on all 57 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+2.06%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (88) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.5% | 83 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −39.0% | 83 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.06% | 86 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
11 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I'd prefer to see a strong breakout above $2,575 for $ETH. It's currently remaining quite calm and under critical resistances. Overall, my expectations are that this will outperform #Bitcoin for the coming period, but we need to see a little bit more strength. https://t.co/mKOfKAMwx8”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
90 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 97 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“$ETH has been chopping around for a long time now, so it's just a matter of time before we'll be seeing a big breakout taking place. https://t.co/LzfZqo0C7w”
“The fun part with $ETH is that there is no breakout on Ethereum as of yet. I think that the next push upwards will surprise a lot of people and generate lot more FOMO. https://t.co/OF0Rx4eqi4”
“Phenomenal skills when it comes to making analysis with a pencil. Anyways, it's quite clear that #Bitcoin doesn't want to go down and that it's the upper scenario. Flipping $85,000 would be a trigger that we're going to be seeing more upwards momentum here and potentially even seeing $90,000 as a next target.”
“The unemployment data is 4.2% vs 4.1%. Essentially, there's no data in there. The FED is likely going to remain rates unchanged, which means that we won't have rate cuts. That means = bullish for #Bitcoin. Rates slowly upwards and/or stable is completely fine for the markets. Rate cuts = the end of the bull run.”
“To be fair, there are multiple assets that are ready to be making a new leg upwards. Ultimately, this comes down to #Bitcoin breaking upwards, for sure. Just having a small eye on the markets, and things like $XPL, $EIGEN, $PLUME and many others are eager for that next push.”
“I've said it a few times over the past few days. #Bitcoin need to break through $84,800 in order to get some momentum. Unfortunately this didn't happen and markets are correcting. I'm interested to see what Bitcoin will be doing around the $81,800 mark as a potential test. Losing that level would mean that we're going into a multi-week correction on the markets (which I doubt).”
“The higher timeframe picture of #Bitcoin is simple: the train doesn't want to stop. At this point, it's clearly continuing its upwards momentum and the only levels that I think we'll pause on: - $91K - $98K Depending on the strength of this move, we'll go to the first or the second.”
“I'm still active on FOMO. Onchain hasn't been trending the past few weeks, as the large caps have been taking momentum (have been trading $SUI, $AVAX, $NEAR). Expecting to see liquidity flow back towards the onchain ecosystem. Betting on $BOW, robinhood:0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277 and the $STONK ecoystem as my main plays. Still at $9,600. Join me here: https://t.co/R1gbDwrRAY”
“#Bitcoin is doing great as it's back again at the range highs. I'm not sure whether we'll stick with that for now. My main scenario is: - We'll test the recent high. - We'll consolidate for a little bit. - We'll have a leverage liquidity flush on #Altcoins and a correction on #Bitcoin. That drop, to, maybe $79,000 or perhaps $78,200, that's the one that I'd be bidding.”
“Rejection at the $76,200 area, means that we're going down further with #Bitcoin. That's fine. We're looking at a technical correction and we're about to sweep those lows again and potentially get to $74,000. That's where I'm going to be interested. https://t.co/kkRN8fpQwl”